3 bd · 2.0 ba ·
1,344 sqft ·
Built 1974
· SingleFamily
· Active
· 86 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$2,628/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$1,731
Tax + insurance
−$359
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$552
Net cashflow
$-13/mo
Annual
$-159/yr
Cap rate
6.69%
Cash-on-cash
1.42%
DSCR
1.06
1% rule
0.80%
Cash to close
$92,400
Investor read
This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $330k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $-13 ($-159/yr) — negative.
To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $328k (0.7% below list).
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $263k (20.4% below list).
It's been on market 86 days — a 6% lower offer ($310k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $263k (20.4% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $10k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 58/100 on livability (#712 in CA) — a working-class tenant base; expect higher turnover. Strengths: crime A+, employment A+, housing A+; Watch: amenities F, commute F, cost of living F.
Borrego Springs Unified (rural): math 20% / reading 35% proficiency, ranked #1,120 of 1,400 in CA (top 80%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 72% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
Zoned schools: Borrego Springs Elementary (math 24% / reading 24%, grade F, #973 of 1,571 statewide, top 73%, 154 students, 84% FRL); Borrego Springs Middle (math 12% / reading 32%, grade F, #388 of 498 statewide, top 80%, 80 students, 92% FRL); Borrego Springs High (math 30% / reading 50%, grade F, #520 of 1,170 statewide, top 45%, 124 students, 87% FRL) — zoned schools average 88% FRL vs 72% district-wide (16 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
Watch-outs: flood insurance adds $122/mo.
Market conditions: 173 active listings in the ZIP; 11,759 units permitted in San Diego County in 2024 (7,244 in 5+ unit buildings).
San Diego County population projected at +20% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
3 sale attempts since 20y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Current owner paid $80k; list at $330k implies a 312% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Climate carrying-cost: in FEMA flood zone AO (mandatory federal flood insurance); moderate wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 10→29/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for listing agent
What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
It's been on market 86 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 20% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Built in 1974 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
What's the actual annual flood-insurance premium (NFIP or private), and is the property in a SFHA with mandatory coverage?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
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· Data 2 weeks agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29