3 bd · 2.0 ba ·
1,891 sqft ·
Built 1963
· SingleFamily
· Active
· 14 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,845/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$1,190
Tax + insurance
−$257
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$387
Net cashflow
$10/mo
Annual
$125/yr
Cap rate
6.35%
Cash-on-cash
0.20%
DSCR
1.01
1% rule
0.81%
Cash to close
$63,532
Investor read
This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $227k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $10 ($125/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $184k (18.7% below list).
Only 14 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
Recommended offer: $184k (18.7% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $7k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 69/100 on livability (#49 in MS) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: amenities F, commute F, health & safety F.
Clinton Public School District (rural): math 58% / reading 53% proficiency, ranked #4 of 130 in MS (top 3%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
Zoned schools: Clinton Park Elem School (712 students, 100% FRL); Clinton Jr Hi School (math 69% / reading 54%, grade B+, #6 of 179 statewide, top 3%, 871 students, 100% FRL) — zoned schools average 100% FRL vs 38% district-wide (61 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
Market conditions: Rents falling (-3.7%/yr); 233 active listings in the ZIP; solid renter incomes; 167 units permitted in Hinds County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Hinds County population projected to shrink 6% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 80% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→20/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Cap rate 6.3% vs local median 4.3% in Clinton — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Questions for listing agent
Built in 1963 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
CashFlowRE · CFR-BDASV5AR75YA1A
· Data 2 days agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29