2 bd · 1.5 ba ·
720 sqft ·
Built 1963
· Manufactured
· Active
· 308 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,729/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$786
Tax + insurance
−$710
HOA
−$140
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$363
Net cashflow
$-270/mo
Annual
$-3,246/yr
Cap rate
7.54%
Cash-on-cash
4.46%
DSCR
1.20
1% rule
1.15%
Cash to close
$41,972
Investor read
This is a 2-bed/1.5-bath manufactured listed at $150k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $-270 ($-3k/yr) — negative.
To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $102k (31.9% below list).
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $150k).
It's been on market 308 days — a 12% lower offer ($132k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $102k (31.9% below list) — sets the bar for cash-flow.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 82/100 on livability (#82 in FL, #1,240 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: commute A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: employment D+, amenities F.
Pinellas (suburban): math 51% / reading 51% proficiency, ranked #31 of 73 in FL (top 42%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
Zoned schools: Oakhurst Elementary School (math 72% / reading 68%, grade A-, #345 of 2,144 statewide, top 17%, 664 students, 38% FRL); Seminole Middle School (math 55% / reading 53%, grade B-, #196 of 571 statewide, top 36%, 824 students, 49% FRL); Seminole High School (math 26% / reading 47%, grade F, #351 of 667 statewide, top 54%, 1,546 students, 39% FRL).
Watch-outs: flood insurance adds $427/mo.
Market conditions: Rents rising (+2.0%/yr); 213 active listings in the ZIP; 5 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals leasing fast (median 7d on market — plan ~1-2 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); solid renter incomes; 2,676 units permitted in Pinellas County in 2024 (1,422 in 5+ unit buildings).
Pinellas County population projected at +14% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
2 sale attempts since 16y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $30k (17%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
Current owner paid $57k; list at $150k implies a 163% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Climate carrying-cost: in FEMA flood zone AE (mandatory federal flood insurance); severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→24/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Cap rate 7.5% vs local median 4.2% in Largo — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Questions for listing agent
What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
It's been on market 308 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 32% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Built in 1963 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
What's the actual annual flood-insurance premium (NFIP or private), and is the property in a SFHA with mandatory coverage?
What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
CashFlowRE · CFR-BDN6JN777VVNY6
· Data 2 weeks agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29