143 Fearn Ln

Evanston, WY 82930

$58,000A-

3 bd · 1.0 ba · 1,216 sqft · Built 2006 · Manufactured · Pending · 87 DOM

Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)

• Estimated rent: $1,337/mo
• Mortgage (P&I): −$304
• Tax + insurance: −$34
• HOA: −$0
• Vac / Maint / Mgmt: −$281
• Net cashflow: $718/mo
• Annual: $8,611/yr
• Cap rate: 21.14%
• Cash-on-cash: 53.02%
• DSCR: 3.36
• 1% rule: 2.30%
• Cash to close: $16,240

Investor read

• This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath manufactured listed at $58k.
• At list price, monthly cash flow is $718 ($9k/yr) — positive.
• The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
• Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $58k).
• It's been on market 87 days — a 6% lower offer ($55k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
• Recommended offer: $55k (6.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
• In year one you build about $6k of equity ($401 loan paydown + $6k appreciation (10.0% local appreciation)).
• Location reads 61/100 on livability (#112 in WY) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: crime C-, amenities F, commute F.
• Uinta County School District #1 (town): math 54% / reading 57% proficiency, ranked #17 of 41 in WY (top 42%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
• Market conditions: 114 active listings in the ZIP; 50 units permitted in Uinta County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
• Uinta County population projected at -21% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
• At projected returns (10.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $16k cash investment doubles in ~2 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
• By year 6, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$36k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
• Cap rate 21.1% vs local median 3.0% in Evanston — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Questions for listing agent

• It's been on market 87 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 6% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
• Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
• Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
• What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
• What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
• How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.