143 Fearn Ln · Evanston, WY 82930

$58,000

3 bd · 1.0 ba · 1,216 sqft · Manufactured public records · 87 Days on market

Built 2006

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Why this score? — see what drove the A- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

• Cash flow +30.0/30.0
• 1% rule +10.0/10.0
• DSCR +10.0/10.0
• Appreciation +10.0/10.0
• ARV discount +7.5/15.0
• Schools +4.8/10.0
• Livability +3.1/5.0
• Rent growth +2.5/5.0
• Condition / age +2.5/5.0

Key facts

• Built 2006
• Listed 87 days

Property features AI

Finance

• Other: Annual tax amount reported

Exterior

• Parking: No garage
• Utilities: Public water; Public sewer
• Home design: Manufactured home (attached); Residential property
• Construction: Vinyl siding
• Exterior features: Deck; Asphalt roof

Interior

• Kitchen: Dishwasher; Refrigerator; Range; Oven
• Flooring: Laminate
• Heating & cooling: Forced air heating; Has heating
• Interior features: Dishwasher; Refrigerator; Range; Oven; Washer
• Laundry & utility: Washer

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

• This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath manufactured listed at $58k.

Deal economics

• At list price, monthly cash flow is $718 ($9k/yr) — positive.
• The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
• Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $58k).
• Recommended offer: $55k (6.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
• Cap rate 21.1% vs local median 3.0% in Evanston — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

• Location reads 61/100 on livability (#112 in WY) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: crime C-, amenities F, commute F.
• Uinta County School District #1 (town): math 54% / reading 57% proficiency, ranked #17 of 41 in WY (top 42%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
• Market conditions: 114 active listings in the ZIP; 50 units permitted in Uinta County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

• In year one you build about $6k of equity ($401 loan paydown + $6k appreciation (10.0% local appreciation)).
• Uinta County population projected at -21% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
• At projected returns (10.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $16k cash investment doubles in ~2 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
• By year 6, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$36k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.

Negotiation context

• It's been on market 87 days — a 6% lower offer ($55k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.

Recommended offer $54,520 (6.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

1. It's been on market 87 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 6% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
2. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
3. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
4. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
5. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
6. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

• 1% rule: 2.30% ✓
• Cap rate: 21.14%
• Cash-on-cash: 53.02%
• DSCR: 3.36
• GRM: 3.6

CMA / ARV

• ARV (on-the-fly): $241,984
• Comps found: 1

Show comp detail 1 sale within ~0.75 mi

Address	Dist	Beds/Ba	Sqft	Sold	Price	$/sf	Match
63 & 61 2nd Ave	0.57mi	3/2.0	1,379 (+13%)	17mo	$275,000	$199	33

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

10.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold

• IRR: 66.2%
• Equity multiple: 5.76×
• Total profit: $77,275
• Equity at exit: $52,251

10-year hold

• IRR: 59.8%
• Equity multiple: 12.80×
• Total profit: $191,583
• Equity at exit: $112,681

Cash invested: $16,240 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

• Overall (STATE): 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
• State Wyoming: 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+25
• County: — inherits STATE
• City: — inherits STATE

3-day notice; strongly landlord-favorable; small market.

Methodology + full state rankings →

ZIP-level market 82930

• Home prices YoY: 4.4%
• Active inventory: 114
• Price-to-rent: 3.6×

Monthly cashflow live

• Estimated rent: $1,337 medium
• Mortgage (P&I): −$304
• Tax from tax record: −$10 /mo · $120/yr
• Insurance: −$24
• HOA: −$0
• Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt: −$281
• Net cashflow: $718

Break-even live

Break-even rent $428

Max offer price $58,000

Occupancy floor 41%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

• Down payment: $14,500
• Closing costs: $1,740
• Reserves months: —
• Total cash needed: —

Listing history 1 events

1. 2026-03-02
   listed $58,000 Active

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast WY · Resets to sale price

• Current annual tax: $120 · $10/mo
• Projected year-2 tax: $354 · $29/mo
• Expected delta: +$234/yr (+$19/mo · 194.8%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

• 🫁 Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out

Taxation est. · year 1

• Rental income: $16,039
• − Mortgage interest: −$3,249
• − Property taxes: −$120
• − Insurance: −$290
• − Repairs & maintenance: −$1,283
• − Management: −$1,283
• − Depreciation: −$1,687
• Taxable income: $8,127
• Est. tax owed @ 24.0%: −$1,950
• After-tax cash flow: $6,661/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

• District: Uinta County School District #1
• NCES district ID: 5602760
• Math proficiency: 54% ▼ -1.00%
• Reading proficiency: 57% ▲ 2.00%
• Median HH income: $53,206
• Composite: 47.65/100
• National rank: #2247
• State rank: #17 of 41 in WY

Livability — Evanston

• Score: 61/100
• State rank: #112
• US rank: #17873

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime C- Employment C+ Housing A+ Health & safety F User ratings F

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

• Census place: Evanston, WY
• Population (ZIP): 14,836

Population outlook (Uinta County) Hauer SSP2

• Today (2025): 19,871 people
• By 2030: 19,106 · -3.8%
• By 2040: 17,394 · -12.5%
• By 2050: 15,715 · -20.9%
• By 2075: 12,193 · -38.6%
• By 2100: 9,429 · -52.5%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

• Neighborhood character: Predominantly White (86%)
• Race & ethnicity: White 86% Hispanic / Latino 11% Two or more races 6%
• Hispanic origin (detail): Mexican 7%
• Common ancestry: Slovak 8% Italian 4% Scottish 3%
• Foreign-born: 2% · Canada
• Languages at home: 95% English-only · Spanish 5%

Political lean MEDSL · Uinta

• 2024 margin: Solid R (+63.7) · D 17.4% · R 81.1% · Other 1.6%
• 2008→2024 swing: -22.6pp toward R · 2008: -41.1pp · 2024: -63.7pp
• All cycles: 2024: R+63.7 2020: R+62.8 2016: R+61.5 2012: R+59.0 2008: R+41.1

Not yet ingested

• Civics: —

Market trends

• HPI YoY: ▲ 16.96%
• Current HPI: 401.04
• Rent YoY: —
• Metro: —
• State GDP YoY: —
• F500 in state: 0

Price history

1 event — show timeline

• 2026-03-02 Listed $58,000 WMLS