4 bd · 2.5 ba ·
2,053 sqft ·
Built 2025
· SingleFamily
· Pending
· 120 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$2,487/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$2,046
Tax + insurance
−$289
HOA
−$23
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$522
Net cashflow
$-392/mo
Annual
$-4,709/yr
Cap rate
5.09%
Cash-on-cash
-4.31%
DSCR
0.81
1% rule
0.64%
Cash to close
$109,220
Investor read
This is a 4-bed/2.5-bath single-family listed at $339k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $-392 ($-5k/yr) — negative.
To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $321k (5.4% below list).
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $249k (26.6% below list).
It's been on market 120 days — a 9% lower offer ($308k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $249k (26.6% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $3k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $12k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 84/100 on livability (#7 in NE, #663 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, cost of living A+; Watch: crime F.
Gretna Public Schools (suburban): math 64% / reading 64% proficiency, ranked #6 of 111 in NE (top 5%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease; only 5% free/reduced lunch — higher-income household profile.
Zoned schools: Gretna Elementary School (math 63% / reading 70%, grade B+, #74 of 502 statewide, top 15%, 463 students, 13% FRL); Gretna Middle School (math 60% / reading 57%, grade B, #21 of 128 statewide, top 17%, 728 students, 14% FRL); Gretna High School (math 63% / reading 64%, grade B-, #37 of 261 statewide, top 14%, 1,729 students, 11% FRL).
Market conditions: Rents rising (+1.9%/yr); 534 active listings in the ZIP; 4 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 21d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); high-income renter base; 1,612 units permitted in Sarpy County in 2024 (364 in 5+ unit buildings).
Sarpy County population projected at +41% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
Cap rate 5.1% vs local median 3.6% in Omaha — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Questions for listing agent
What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
It's been on market 120 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 27% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
CashFlowRE · CFR-BFBCRE1SJE3C88
· Data 3 weeks agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29