24 bd · 8.8 ba ·
6,916 sqft ·
Built 1906
· MultiFamily
· Active
· 151 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$27,726/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$9,702
Tax + insurance
−$2,117
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$5,822
Net cashflow
$10,085/mo
Annual
$121,018/yr
Cap rate
12.83%
Cash-on-cash
23.36%
DSCR
2.04
1% rule
1.50%
Cash to close
$518,000
Investor read
This is a 8 × 3-bed/1.1-bath units multifamily listed at $1.85M. Condition is rated good.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $10k ($121k/yr) — positive. Per door: $1k/mo.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($28k rent vs $1.85M).
It's been on market 151 days — a 12% lower offer ($1.63M) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $1.63M (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
In year one you build about $117k of equity ($13k loan paydown + $104k appreciation (5.6% local appreciation)).
Location reads 75/100 on livability (#268 in NY, #4,188 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, health & safety A; Watch: crime F, cost of living F.
Zoned schools: Elm Tree Elementary School (math 27% / reading 52%, grade F, #1,444 of 2,108 statewide, top 71%, 806 students, 94% FRL); Jhs 220 John J Pershing (math 62% / reading 62%, grade B+, #136 of 729 statewide, top 20%, 1,229 students, 88% FRL); Midwood High School (math 94% / reading 96%, grade A+, #83 of 1,100 statewide, top 8%, 4,062 students, 73% FRL).
Watch-outs: built in 1906 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+11.0%/yr); 384 active listings in the ZIP; 10,063 units permitted in Kings County in 2024 (9,789 in 5+ unit buildings).
Kings County population projected at +13% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
Current owner paid $1.60M; 16% above their basis — modest negotiation headroom, anchor on the comps not their cost.
At projected returns (5.6% appreciation + 8.0% rent growth), your $518k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
By year 2, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$187k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 62% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→15/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Cap rate 12.8% vs local median 2.6% in New York — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
At $3,466/mo per unit this rent would consume 60% of the median local household income ($70k/yr) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.
Questions for listing agent
It's been on market 151 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Can we see the unit-by-unit rent roll, current vacancy, and any below-market leases? What's the average tenancy length?
What capital expenditures (roof, boiler, parking lot, exteriors) have been made in the last 5 years, and what's planned in the next 2?
Built in 1906 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
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· Data 5 h agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29