3 bd · 2.0 ba ·
1,520 sqft ·
Built 1912
· MultiFamily
· Active
· 44 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$4,605/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$1,468
Tax + insurance
−$791
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$967
Net cashflow
$1,379/mo
Annual
$16,552/yr
Cap rate
12.44%
Cash-on-cash
21.97%
DSCR
1.98
1% rule
1.65%
Cash to close
$78,372
Investor read
This is a 2 × 3-bed/2.0-bath units multifamily listed at $280k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $1k ($17k/yr) — positive. Per door: $690/mo.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($5k rent vs $280k).
It's been on market 44 days — a 3% lower offer ($272k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $272k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $8k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 82/100 on livability (#74 in NY, #1,143 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: amenities A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: crime C-.
Kingston City School District (urban): math 44% / reading 59% proficiency, ranked #355 of 590 in NY (top 60%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
Zoned schools: Harry L Edson School (math 32% / reading 32%, grade F, #1,646 of 2,108 statewide, top 80%, 418 students, 55% FRL); J Watson Bailey Middle School (math 22% / reading 48%, grade F, #480 of 729 statewide, top 66%, 968 students, 53% FRL); Kingston High School (math 94% / reading 91%, grade A+, #153 of 1,100 statewide, top 14%, 1,856 students, 85% FRL) — zoned schools average 64% FRL vs 45% district-wide (19 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
Watch-outs: property tax is 2.7% of price; flood insurance adds $56/mo; built in 1912 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+7.8%/yr); 225 active listings in the ZIP; 464 units permitted in Ulster County in 2024 (170 in 5+ unit buildings).
Ulster County population projected at -14% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
7 sale attempts since 11y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $20k (7%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
Current owner paid $84k; list at $280k implies a 234% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 7.8% rent growth), your $78k cash investment doubles in ~5 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Climate carrying-cost: severe flood risk — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Cap rate 12.4% vs local median 3.0% in Kingston — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Questions for listing agent
It's been on market 44 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Can we see the unit-by-unit rent roll, current vacancy, and any below-market leases? What's the average tenancy length?
What capital expenditures (roof, boiler, parking lot, exteriors) have been made in the last 5 years, and what's planned in the next 2?
Built in 1912 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Property tax is high relative to price — has the assessment been appealed recently, and will the sale trigger a re-assessment?
What's the actual annual flood-insurance premium (NFIP or private), and is the property in a SFHA with mandatory coverage?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
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