3 bd · 1.0 ba ·
1,188 sqft ·
Built 1959
· SingleFamily
· Active
· 42 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$2,418/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$1,285
Tax + insurance
−$417
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$508
Net cashflow
$209/mo
Annual
$2,504/yr
Cap rate
7.31%
Cash-on-cash
3.65%
DSCR
1.16
1% rule
0.99%
Cash to close
$68,600
Investor read
This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $245k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $209 ($3k/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $242k (1.3% below list).
It's been on market 42 days — a 3% lower offer ($238k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $238k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $7k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 72/100 on livability (#244 in WI) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, employment A+, housing A+; Watch: amenities F, commute F, health & safety F.
De Forest Area School District (suburban): math 39% / reading 39% proficiency, ranked #133 of 342 in WI (top 39%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; only 17% free/reduced lunch — higher-income household profile.
Zoned schools: Eagle Point Elementary (math 42% / reading 32%, grade F, #562 of 1,041 statewide, top 58%, 376 students, 16% FRL); De Forest Middle (math 39% / reading 40%, grade F, #153 of 383 statewide, top 42%, 561 students, 17% FRL); De Forest High (math 31% / reading 38%, grade F, #144 of 483 statewide, top 36%, 1,099 students, 18% FRL) — zoned schools at 17% FRL track the district average.
Watch-outs: built in 1959 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+5.5%/yr); 114 active listings in the ZIP; 4 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 16d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); high-income renter base; 5,519 units permitted in Dane County in 2024 (3,978 in 5+ unit buildings).
Dane County population projected at +35% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
Current owner paid $185k; 32% above their basis — modest negotiation headroom, anchor on the comps not their cost.
Cap rate 7.3% vs local median 2.1% in DeForest — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Questions for listing agent
It's been on market 42 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Built in 1959 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
CashFlowRE · CFR-BH9H709KZVX4BE
· Data 1 week agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29