4 bd · 4.0 ba ·
3,063 sqft ·
Built 2015
· MultiFamily
· Active
· 125 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$6,252/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$4,111
Tax + insurance
−$673
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$1,313
Net cashflow
$154/mo
Annual
$1,851/yr
Cap rate
6.53%
Cash-on-cash
0.84%
DSCR
1.04
1% rule
0.80%
Cash to close
$219,520
Investor read
This is a 4-bed/4.0-bath multifamily listed at $784k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $154 ($2k/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $625k (20.3% below list).
It's been on market 125 days — a 12% lower offer ($690k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $625k (20.3% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $5k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $24k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 80/100 on livability (#130 in OH, #1,856 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, cost of living A+; Watch: employment D, crime F.
Cincinnati Public Schools (urban): math 25% / reading 36% proficiency, ranked #581 of 656 in OH (top 89%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; 70% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
Zoned schools: Sands Montessori School (math 70% / reading 77%, grade A, #311 of 1,584 statewide, top 20%, 683 students, 22% FRL); Hartwell School (math 17% / reading 31%, grade F, #593 of 654 statewide, top 91%, 447 students, 0% FRL); Walnut Hills High School (math 79% / reading 89%, grade A, #17 of 781 statewide, top 2%, 2,582 students, 14% FRL) — zoned schools average 12% FRL vs 70% district-wide (59 pts lower); this property's tenant base skews higher-income than the district average.
Zoned-school proficiency averages 60% at this address vs 30% district-wide (+30 pts) — the actual schools serving this property are materially stronger than the Cincinnati Public Schools average implies; a family-tenant draw the district grade alone would hide.
Market conditions: Rents rising (+2.7%/yr); 154 active listings in the ZIP; 26 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 17d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); solid renter incomes; 801 units permitted in Hamilton County in 2024 (190 in 5+ unit buildings).
4 sale attempts since 20y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→19/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Cap rate 6.5% vs local median 3.9% in Cincinnati — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
At $6,252/mo this rent would consume 78% of the median local household income ($96k/yr) (locally 1514% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.
Questions for listing agent
It's been on market 125 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 20% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
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· Data 1 day agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29