5 bd · 1.5 ba ·
2,569 sqft ·
Built 1909
· Other
· Active
· 124 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,614/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$745
Tax + insurance
−$311
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$339
Net cashflow
$219/mo
Annual
$2,632/yr
Cap rate
8.15%
Cash-on-cash
6.62%
DSCR
1.29
1% rule
1.14%
Cash to close
$39,760
Investor read
This is a 5-bed/1.5-bath other listed at $142k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $219 ($3k/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $142k).
It's been on market 124 days — a 12% lower offer ($125k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $125k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $982 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 68/100 on livability (#383 in WI) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, schools B; Watch: employment C-, amenities F, commute F.
Elmwood School District (rural): math 40% / reading 45% proficiency, ranked #210 of 426 in WI (top 49%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
Watch-outs: built in 1909 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Market conditions: 5 active listings in the ZIP; 191 units permitted in Pierce County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Pierce County population projected at -16% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
4 sale attempts since 16y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $38k (21%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
Current owner paid $98k; 45% above their basis — modest negotiation headroom, anchor on the comps not their cost.
Questions for listing agent
It's been on market 124 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Built in 1909 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
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· Data 9 h agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29