4 bd · 2.0 ba ·
1,771 sqft ·
Built 1900
· SingleFamily
· Pending
· 270 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,581/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$510
Tax + insurance
−$338
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$332
Net cashflow
$401/mo
Annual
$4,814/yr
Cap rate
11.25%
Cash-on-cash
17.69%
DSCR
1.79
1% rule
1.63%
Cash to close
$27,216
Investor read
This is a 4-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $97k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $401 ($5k/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $97k).
It's been on market 270 days — a 12% lower offer ($86k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $86k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $672 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 74/100 on livability (#187 in WI, #4,937 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, crime B+; Watch: schools C-, health & safety D, amenities F.
Reedsburg School District (town): math 31% / reading 36% proficiency, ranked #242 of 342 in WI (top 71%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
Watch-outs: property tax is 3.7% of price; built in 1900 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Market conditions: 66 active listings in the ZIP; solid renter incomes; 527 units permitted in Sauk County in 2024 (268 in 5+ unit buildings).
2 sale attempts; this cycle's ask has dropped $49k (34%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
Current owner paid $45k; list at $97k implies a 116% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $27k cash investment doubles in ~7 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Cap rate 11.2% vs local median 2.2% in Reedsburg — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Questions for listing agent
It's been on market 270 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Built in 1900 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Property tax is high relative to price — has the assessment been appealed recently, and will the sale trigger a re-assessment?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
CashFlowRE · CFR-BJFR90F7YC9QR2
· Data 5 days agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29