4 bd · 4.0 ba ·
2,472 sqft ·
Built 1978
· MultiFamily
· Active
· 286 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$3,300/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$2,092
Tax + insurance
−$1,092
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$693
Net cashflow
$-577/mo
Annual
$-6,923/yr
Cap rate
5.84%
Cash-on-cash
-1.62%
DSCR
0.93
1% rule
0.83%
Cash to close
$111,720
Investor read
This is a 2 × 2-bed/2.0-bath units multifamily listed at $399k. Condition is rated good.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $-577 ($-7k/yr) — negative. Per door: $-288/mo.
To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $316k (20.9% below list).
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $330k (17.3% below list).
It's been on market 286 days — a 12% lower offer ($351k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $316k (20.9% below list) — sets the bar for cash-flow.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $3k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $12k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 77/100 on livability (#208 in FL, #3,098 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: housing A+, health & safety A+, amenities B+; Watch: commute F.
Lee (suburban): math 47% / reading 50% proficiency, ranked #42 of 73 in FL (top 58%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
Zoned schools: Gulf Elementary School (math 70% / reading 65%, grade B+, #435 of 2,144 statewide, top 21%, 1,231 students, 38% FRL); Challenger Middle School (math 59% / reading 56%, grade B, #157 of 571 statewide, top 28%, 1,124 students, 50% FRL); Ida S. Baker High School (math 44% / reading 47%, grade D-, #223 of 667 statewide, top 34%, 1,933 students, 39% FRL) — zoned schools average 42% FRL vs 57% district-wide (15 pts lower); this property's tenant base skews higher-income than the district average.
Watch-outs: flood insurance adds $427/mo.
Market conditions: Rents falling (-7.1%/yr); 689 active listings in the ZIP; 24 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 74d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 54% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; 15,411 units permitted in Lee County in 2024 (4,686 in 5+ unit buildings).
Lee County population projected at +44% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
Climate carrying-cost: in FEMA flood zone AE (mandatory federal flood insurance); severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→32/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Cap rate 5.8% vs local median 3.1% in Cape Coral — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Questions for listing agent
What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
It's been on market 286 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 21% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Can we see the unit-by-unit rent roll, current vacancy, and any below-market leases? What's the average tenancy length?
What capital expenditures (roof, boiler, parking lot, exteriors) have been made in the last 5 years, and what's planned in the next 2?
Built in 1978 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
What's the actual annual flood-insurance premium (NFIP or private), and is the property in a SFHA with mandatory coverage?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Repairs flagged (vision-AI assessment)
Minor: Kitchen cabinetry
— The cabinetry is dated and could be updated for a more modern look.
Minor: Bathroom fixtures
— The fixtures are dated and could be replaced for a more modern look.
CashFlowRE · CFR-BK0ZKZ6SJFMMEW
· Data 3 weeks agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29