550 Pine Grove Rd

Floral, AR 72523

$129,000D

3 bd · 1.0 ba · 1,188 sqft · Built 1970 · SingleFamily · Under Contract · 50 DOM

Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)

• Estimated rent: $1,014/mo
• Mortgage (P&I): −$676
• Tax + insurance: −$118
• HOA: −$0
• Vac / Maint / Mgmt: −$213
• Net cashflow: $6/mo
• Annual: $78/yr
• Cap rate: 6.35%
• Cash-on-cash: 0.22%
• DSCR: 1.01
• 1% rule: 0.79%
• Cash to close: $36,120

Investor read

• This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $129k.
• At list price, monthly cash flow is $6 ($78/yr) — positive.
• The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
• To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $101k (21.4% below list).
• It's been on market 50 days — a 3% lower offer ($125k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
• Recommended offer: $101k (21.4% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
• In year one you build about $5k of equity ($892 loan paydown + $4k appreciation (3.0% local appreciation)).
• Location reads: area grade D — affects rentability + tenant quality, not the cash-flow math above.
• Midland School District (rural): math 19% / reading 28% proficiency, ranked #191 of 238 in AR (top 80%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
• Zoned schools: Midland Elementary School (math 22% / reading 27%, grade F, #347 of 454 statewide, top 79%, 277 students, 68% FRL); Midland High School (math 17% / reading 32%, grade F, #187 of 292 statewide, top 70%, 234 students, 58% FRL).
• Market conditions: 6 active listings in the ZIP; 33 units permitted in Independence County in 2024 (24 in 5+ unit buildings).
• At projected returns (3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $36k cash investment doubles in ~7 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
• By year 7, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$30k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
• Climate carrying-cost: major wildfire risk — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.

Questions for listing agent

• It's been on market 50 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 21% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
• Built in 1970 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
• Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
• The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
• What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
• What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
• How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.