4 bd · 2.0 ba ·
1,974 sqft ·
Built 1973
· Other
· Active
· 45 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,988/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$983
Tax + insurance
−$227
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$417
Net cashflow
$361/mo
Annual
$4,328/yr
Cap rate
8.60%
Cash-on-cash
8.24%
DSCR
1.37
1% rule
1.06%
Cash to close
$52,500
Investor read
This is a 4-bed/2.0-bath other listed at $188k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $361 ($4k/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $188k).
It's been on market 45 days — a 3% lower offer ($182k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $182k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $6k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 73/100 on livability (#19 in AR) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: crime F, amenities F, commute F.
Pulaski County Spec. School District (rural): math 27% / reading 31% proficiency, ranked #150 of 238 in AR (top 63%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
Zoned schools: Clinton Elementary School (math 20% / reading 16%, grade F, #393 of 454 statewide, top 87%, 567 students, 97% FRL); Sylvan Hills Middle School (math 26% / reading 30%, grade F, #150 of 201 statewide, top 76%, 1,122 students, 52% FRL); Sylvan Hills High School (math 16% / reading 29%, grade F, #211 of 292 statewide, top 73%, 1,017 students, 38% FRL).
Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+4.8%/yr); 249 active listings in the ZIP; 19 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 46d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 53% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; solid renter incomes; 1,006 units permitted in Pulaski County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Pulaski County population projected at +6% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
Current owner paid $78k; list at $188k implies a 140% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 4.8% rent growth), your $52k cash investment doubles in ~10 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→18/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Cap rate 8.6% vs local median 4.4% in Sherwood — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
This rent runs 31% of the median local income ($77k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Questions for listing agent
It's been on market 45 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Built in 1973 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
CashFlowRE · CFR-BMT38N40W426A1
· Data 19 h agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29