2 bd · 1.0 ba ·
838 sqft ·
Built 1996
· Condo
· Pending
· 67 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,370/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$695
Tax + insurance
−$293
HOA
−$150
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$288
Net cashflow
$-56/mo
Annual
$-667/yr
Cap rate
6.39%
Cash-on-cash
0.35%
DSCR
1.02
1% rule
1.03%
Cash to close
$37,100
Investor read
This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath condo listed at $132k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $-56 ($-667/yr) — negative.
To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $123k (7.4% below list).
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $132k).
It's been on market 67 days — a 6% lower offer ($125k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $123k (7.4% below list) — sets the bar for cash-flow.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $916 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 85/100 on livability (#18 in IA, #596 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: crime A+, employment A+, housing A+; Watch: amenities F, commute F.
Iowa City Community School District (urban): math 65% / reading 70% proficiency, ranked #174 of 289 in IA (top 60%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
Zoned schools: James Van Allen Elementary School (math 73% / reading 66%, grade A-, #224 of 616 statewide, top 42%, 432 students, 27% FRL); North Central Junior High School (math 72% / reading 75%, grade A, #86 of 246 statewide, top 35%, 622 students, 24% FRL); West Senior High School (math 71% / reading 77%, grade B+, #103 of 336 statewide, top 32%, 1,503 students, 38% FRL) — zoned schools at 30% FRL track the district average.
Watch-outs: flood insurance adds $66/mo.
Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+7.6%/yr); 345 active listings in the ZIP; 2 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; solid renter incomes; 714 units permitted in Johnson County in 2024 (158 in 5+ unit buildings).
Johnson County population projected at +60% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
4 sale attempts since 6y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Current owner paid $105k; 26% above their basis — modest negotiation headroom, anchor on the comps not their cost.
Climate carrying-cost: major flood risk — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Cap rate 6.4% vs local median 3.2% in North Liberty — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
This rent is only 16% of the median local income ($105k/yr) — well below the 30% rent-burden line; pricing power to push rent on renewal without tenant pushback.
Questions for listing agent
What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
It's been on market 67 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 7% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
What's the actual annual flood-insurance premium (NFIP or private), and is the property in a SFHA with mandatory coverage?
What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
Any open or pending special assessments — roof, HVAC, plumbing, elevator, façade? What's the per-unit balance and payoff schedule, and is the seller paying it off at close or rolling it to the buyer?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are A-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
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