140 Shannon Dr #6 · North Liberty, IA
Flood risk 7/10 · Major
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.78%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 3/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $902 – $1,676
Heat risk 3/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 104°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 16 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 2 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +13.7/30.0
- Schools +5.7/10.0
- ARV discount +5.5/15.0
- 1% rule +5.3/10.0
- Rent growth +4.4/5.0
- DSCR +4.2/10.0
- Livability +4.2/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$132,500
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Welcome to this move-in-ready 2nd floor condo offering a perfect blend of comfort and convenience. The inviting open-concept living area features a cozy gas fireplace, creating a warm focal point for relaxing evenings. The functional kitchen is designed for efficiency with a handy breakfast bar, dedicated pantry, and all appliances included, plus a stackable washer and dryer tucked away in a closet for easy main-level laundry. Both bedrooms are well-sized with ample closet space, and the full bathroom is conveniently located. Enjoy your morning coffee on the private balcony deck. This unit also includes a detached one-car garage for extra storage and protection from the elements. Ideally located near Highway 965, you are just minutes from local shopping, dining, and North Liberty parks.
Key facts
- Gas fireplace
- Dedicated pantry
- Private balcony deck
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath condo listed at $132k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $-56 ($-667/yr) — negative.
- To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $123k (7.4% below list).
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $132k).
- Recommended offer: $123k (7.4% below list) — sets the bar for cash-flow.
- Cap rate 6.4% vs local median 3.2% in North Liberty — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 85/100 on livability (#18 in IA, #596 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: crime A+, employment A+, housing A+; Watch: amenities F, commute F.
- Iowa City Community School District (urban): math 65% / reading 70% proficiency, ranked #174 of 289 in IA (top 60%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
- Zoned schools: James Van Allen Elementary School (math 73% / reading 66%, grade A-, #224 of 616 statewide, top 42%, 432 students, 27% FRL); North Central Junior High School (math 72% / reading 75%, grade A, #86 of 246 statewide, top 35%, 622 students, 24% FRL); West Senior High School (math 71% / reading 77%, grade B+, #103 of 336 statewide, top 32%, 1,503 students, 38% FRL) — zoned schools at 30% FRL track the district average.
- Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+7.6%/yr); 345 active listings in the ZIP; 2 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; solid renter incomes; 714 units permitted in Johnson County in 2024 (158 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent is only 16% of the median local income ($105k/yr) — well below the 30% rent-burden line; pricing power to push rent on renewal without tenant pushback.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $916 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Johnson County population projected at +60% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 67 days — a 6% lower offer ($125k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 4 sale attempts since 6y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
- Current owner paid $105k; 26% above their basis — modest negotiation headroom, anchor on the comps not their cost.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: flood insurance adds $66/mo.
- Climate carrying-cost: major flood risk — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
- It's been on market 67 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 7% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- What's the actual annual flood-insurance premium (NFIP or private), and is the property in a SFHA with mandatory coverage?
- What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
- Any open or pending special assessments — roof, HVAC, plumbing, elevator, façade? What's the per-unit balance and payoff schedule, and is the seller paying it off at close or rolling it to the buyer?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are A-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.03% ✓
- Cap rate
- 6.39%
- Cash-on-cash
- 0.35%
- DSCR
- 1.02
- GRM
- 8.1
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $126,727
- List price
- $132,500
- Delta
- 4.56%
- Verdict
- FAIR
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 7.62% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -12.9%
- Equity multiple
- 0.51×
- Total profit
- $-18,191
- Equity at exit
- $19,756
- IRR
- 3.1%
- Equity multiple
- 1.28×
- Total profit
- $10,322
- Equity at exit
- $11,456
Cash invested: $37,100 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Iowa
- 83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+6
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 52317
- Home prices YoY
- -29.8%
- Rents YoY
- 7.6%
- Active inventory
- 345
- Price-to-rent
- 8.1×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,370 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$695
- Tax from tax record
- −$171 /mo · $2,052/yr
- Insurance
- −$55
- Flood insurance flood zone
- −$66 /mo · $798/yr
- HOA
- −$150
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$288
- Net cashflow
- $-56
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $19 | -5% $-18 | +0% $-56 | +5% $-93 | +10% $-131 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $-164 | -5% $-110 | +0% $-56 | +5% $-1 | +10% $53 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $11 | -0.5pp $-22 | base $-56 | +0.5pp $-90 | +1.0pp $-125 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $33,125
- Closing costs
- $3,975
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 2 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 115 Sugar Creek Ln Unit 01 North Liberty, IA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 675 | $995 | $1.47 | 23d | 1 | 0.38mi |
| 835 Blue Sky Dr #201 North Liberty, IA | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1025 | $1,450 | $1.41 | 45d | 1 | 0.40mi |
HOA detail condo
- Monthly dues
- $150 · $1,800/yr
- Likely covers
- gas
- Assessments
- None detected in remarks — confirm with the listing agent.
Listing history 15 events
-
2026-06-08status $132,500 Pending 67 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $132,500 Active 67 DOM
-
2026-06-05days on market $132,500 Active 64 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $132,500 Active 63 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $132,500 Active 62 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $132,500 Active 61 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $132,500 Active 60 DOM
-
2026-05-30days on market $132,500 Active 59 DOM
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2026-04-01$132,500 Active 797-char remark
Show marketing remark (797 chars)
Welcome to this move-in-ready 2nd floor condo offering a perfect blend of comfort and convenience. The inviting open-concept living area features a cozy gas fireplace, creating a warm focal point for relaxing evenings. The functional kitchen is designed for efficiency with a handy breakfast bar, dedicated pantry, and all appliances included, plus a stackable washer and dryer tucked away in a closet for easy main-level laundry. Both bedrooms are well-sized with ample closet space, and the full bathroom is conveniently located. Enjoy your morning coffee on the private balcony deck. This unit also includes a detached one-car garage for extra storage and protection from the elements. Ideally located near Highway 965, you are just minutes from local shopping, dining, and North Liberty parks.
-
2026-04-01$132,500 Active 797-char remark
Show marketing remark (797 chars)
Welcome to this move-in-ready 2nd floor condo offering a perfect blend of comfort and convenience. The inviting open-concept living area features a cozy gas fireplace, creating a warm focal point for relaxing evenings. The functional kitchen is designed for efficiency with a handy breakfast bar, dedicated pantry, and all appliances included, plus a stackable washer and dryer tucked away in a closet for easy main-level laundry. Both bedrooms are well-sized with ample closet space, and the full bathroom is conveniently located. Enjoy your morning coffee on the private balcony deck. This unit also includes a detached one-car garage for extra storage and protection from the elements. Ideally located near Highway 965, you are just minutes from local shopping, dining, and North Liberty parks.
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2021-10-15soldstatus $105,000
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2021-10-15soldstatus $105,000
-
2021-10-12soldstatus $104,900
-
2021-09-17$104,900
-
2020-03-07$96,500
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast IA · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $2,052 · $171/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $2,066 · $172/mo
- Expected delta
- +$14/yr (+$1/mo · 0.7%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 7/10 Severe FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 78% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
- Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥104°F today · 16 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $16,434
- − Mortgage interest
- −$7,422
- − Property taxes
- −$2,052
- − Insurance
- −$1,460
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,315
- − Management
- −$1,315
- − HOA
- −$1,800
- − Depreciation
- −$3,855
- Taxable loss
- −$2,784
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$668
- After-tax cash flow
- $1/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Iowa City Community School District
- NCES district ID
- 1914700
- Math proficiency
- 65% ▼ -6.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 70% ▲ 2.00%
- Median HH income
- $50,229
- Composite
- 57.3/100
- National rank
- #1088
- State rank
- #174 of 289 in IA
Livability — North Liberty
- Score
- 85/100
- State rank
- #18
- US rank
- #596
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- North Liberty, IA
- County
- Johnson County · 132,710 people
- City population
- 23,097
- Metro
- Iowa City, IA
- Population (ZIP)
- 23,097
- Household income
- $105,318
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 432.0
Population outlook (Johnson County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 180,405 people
- By 2030
- 200,014 · +10.9%
- By 2040
- 241,428 · +33.8%
- By 2050
- 288,144 · +59.7%
- By 2075
- 420,009 · +132.8%
- By 2100
- 546,596 · +203.0%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (80%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 80% Two or more races 8% Hispanic / Latino 5% Asian 5% Black 4%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 3%
- Common ancestry
- Portuguese 7% Italian 2% Lithuanian 2%
- Foreign-born
- 8% · Canada, South Korea, China
- Languages at home
- 91% English-only · Spanish 4% French/Haitian/Cajun 2% Other Asian/Pacific 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Johnson
- 2024 margin
- Solid D (+38.1) · D 68.4% · R 30.3% · Other 1.3%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -3.4pp toward R · 2008: 41.5pp · 2024: 38.1pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+38.1 2020: D+43.2 2016: D+38.3 2012: D+35.4 2008: D+41.5
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -72.37%
- Current HPI
- 170.8165
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 7.62%
- Metro
- Iowa City, IA
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.48%
- F500 in state
- 4
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in IA)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Financial Services | 1 | $16B |
|
||
| Retail / Convenience | 1 | $15B |
|
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Price history
+37.3% since first listed7 events — show timeline
- 2026-04-01 Listed $132,500 CRAAR, CDRMLS
- 2026-04-01 Listed $132,500 ICAARMLS
- 2021-10-15 Sold (Public Records) $105,000 Public Records
- 2021-10-15 Sold (Public Records) $105,000 Public Records
- 2021-10-12 Sold (MLS) $104,900 ICAARMLS
- 2021-09-17 Listed $104,900 ICAARMLS
- 2020-03-07 Listed $96,500 ICAARMLS
Property tax history
+4.5%/yrLatest (2025): $2,052 · +2.2% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…