4 bd · 2.0 ba ·
2,111 sqft ·
Built 1880
· MultiFamily
· Active
· 14 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$3,671/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$1,153
Tax + insurance
−$433
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$771
Net cashflow
$1,314/mo
Annual
$15,771/yr
Cap rate
13.47%
Cash-on-cash
25.61%
DSCR
2.14
1% rule
1.67%
Cash to close
$61,572
Investor read
This is a 2 × 2-bed/1.0-bath units multifamily listed at $220k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $1k ($16k/yr) — positive. Per door: $657/mo.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($4k rent vs $220k).
Only 14 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $7k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 76/100 on livability (#66 in MA, #3,658 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: commute A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: employment D+, schools D, crime F.
Chicopee (suburban): math 20% / reading 33% proficiency, ranked #270 of 302 in MA (top 89%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
Watch-outs: built in 1880 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Market conditions: 20 active listings in the ZIP; 1 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 453 units permitted in Hampden County in 2024 (116 in 5+ unit buildings).
Hampden County population projected at +5% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
2 sale attempts since 17y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $62k cash investment doubles in ~5 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Climate carrying-cost: moderate wind risk, 23% chance of damaging wind over 30y — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Cap rate 13.5% vs local median 4.6% in Chicopee — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
At $3,671/mo this rent would consume 67% of the median local household income ($66k/yr) (locally 1153% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.
Questions for listing agent
Can we see the unit-by-unit rent roll, current vacancy, and any below-market leases? What's the average tenancy length?
What capital expenditures (roof, boiler, parking lot, exteriors) have been made in the last 5 years, and what's planned in the next 2?
Built in 1880 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
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· Data 2 days agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29