3 bd · 2.0 ba ·
1 sqft ·
Built 1998
· Other
· Active
· 263 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,081/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$356
Tax + insurance
−$113
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$227
Net cashflow
$385/mo
Annual
$4,615/yr
Cap rate
13.09%
Cash-on-cash
24.28%
DSCR
2.08
1% rule
1.59%
Cash to close
$19,009
Investor read
This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath other listed at $68k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $385 ($5k/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $68k).
It's been on market 263 days — a 12% lower offer ($60k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $60k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $470 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 66/100 on livability (#68 in WY) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, employment A+, housing A+; Watch: schools C-, amenities F, commute F.
Sweetwater County School District #1 (town): math 44% / reading 49% proficiency, ranked #31 of 41 in WY (top 76%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
Market conditions: Rents soft (-2.1%/yr); 177 active listings in the ZIP; 47 units permitted in Sweetwater County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Sweetwater County population projected at +12% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
17 sale attempts since 11y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 0.0% rent growth), your $19k cash investment doubles in ~6 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Climate carrying-cost: moderate wildfire risk — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for listing agent
It's been on market 263 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
CashFlowRE · CFR-BVAQQF2PQYQ1DM
· Data 1 day agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29