3 bd · 1.5 ba ·
1,759 sqft ·
Built 1900
· SingleFamily
· Active
· 60 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,401/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$340
Tax + insurance
−$210
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$294
Net cashflow
$557/mo
Annual
$6,680/yr
Cap rate
16.59%
Cash-on-cash
36.76%
DSCR
2.64
1% rule
2.16%
Cash to close
$18,172
Investor read
This is a 3-bed/1.5-bath single-family listed at $65k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $557 ($7k/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $65k).
It's been on market 60 days — a 3% lower offer ($63k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $63k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $449 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 59/100 on livability (#1,028 in NY) — a working-class tenant base; expect higher turnover. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: schools C-, employment D+, health & safety D.
Morristown Central School District (rural): math 45% / reading 40% proficiency, ranked #600 of 755 in NY (top 80%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
Watch-outs: property tax is 3.4% of price; built in 1900 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Market conditions: 17 active listings in the ZIP; 215 units permitted in St. Lawrence County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
St. Lawrence County population projected at -14% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
2 sale attempts; this cycle's ask has dropped $4k (6%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $18k cash investment doubles in ~4 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Cap rate 16.6% vs local median 2.4% in Hammond — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Questions for listing agent
It's been on market 60 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Built in 1900 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Property tax is high relative to price — has the assessment been appealed recently, and will the sale trigger a re-assessment?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
CashFlowRE · CFR-BVH4QB7H6NM0X7
· Data 2 weeks agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29