2 bd · 1.0 ba ·
914 sqft ·
Built 1991
· SingleFamily
· Active
· 149 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,187/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$291
Tax + insurance
−$92
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$249
Net cashflow
$554/mo
Annual
$6,652/yr
Cap rate
18.28%
Cash-on-cash
42.80%
DSCR
2.90
1% rule
2.14%
Cash to close
$15,540
Investor read
This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $56k. Condition is rated fair.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $554 ($7k/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $56k).
It's been on market 149 days — a 12% lower offer ($49k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $49k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $384 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads: area grade C — affects rentability + tenant quality, not the cash-flow math above.
Alma Public Schools (town): math 28% / reading 44% proficiency, ranked #288 of 540 in MI (top 53%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
Market conditions: 89 active listings in the ZIP; 2 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 47 units permitted in Gratiot County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Gratiot County population projected at -14% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $16k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Questions for listing agent
It's been on market 149 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Have any recent inspections been done? Can we get a copy of the seller's disclosures and any deferred-maintenance estimates?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Repairs flagged (vision-AI assessment)
Major: exterior siding
— Significant wear
Major: flooring
— Worn carpet
Major: interior walls
— Painted walls, some wear
CashFlowRE · CFR-BVJEXFC2MQHSC8
· Data 2 weeks agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29