6 bd · 4.0 ba ·
1,446 sqft ·
Built 2003
· SingleFamily
· Active
· 40 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$2,650/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$1,415
Tax + insurance
−$454
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$556
Net cashflow
$224/mo
Annual
$2,690/yr
Cap rate
7.29%
Cash-on-cash
3.56%
DSCR
1.16
1% rule
0.98%
Cash to close
$75,572
Investor read
This is a 6-bed/4.0-bath single-family listed at $270k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $224 ($3k/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $265k (1.8% below list).
It's been on market 40 days — a 3% lower offer ($262k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $262k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $8k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 73/100 on livability (#286 in IL) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, employment A+, housing A+; Watch: health & safety C-, amenities F, commute F.
Minooka Chsd 111 (suburban): math 28% / reading 36% proficiency, ranked #187 of 620 in IL (top 30%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
Zoned schools: Minooka Elem School (math 27% / reading 22%, grade F, #850 of 2,056 statewide, top 45%, 503 students, 0% FRL); Minooka Jr High School (math 23% / reading 34%, grade F, #277 of 665 statewide, top 42%, 1,058 students, 0% FRL); Minooka Community High School (math 28% / reading 36%, grade F, #157 of 693 statewide, top 25%, 2,930 students, 0% FRL).
Market conditions: 71 active listings in the ZIP; 84 units permitted in Grundy County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Grundy County population projected to shrink 9% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
Cap rate 7.3% vs local median 3.4% in Minooka — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Questions for listing agent
It's been on market 40 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
CashFlowRE · CFR-BW1W373AGMGAR3
· Data 23 h agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29