2 bd · 1.0 ba ·
728 sqft ·
Built 1977
· SingleFamily
· Active
· 190 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$845/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$236
Tax + insurance
−$75
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$177
Net cashflow
$356/mo
Annual
$4,275/yr
Cap rate
15.79%
Cash-on-cash
33.93%
DSCR
2.51
1% rule
1.88%
Cash to close
$12,600
Investor read
This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $45k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $356 ($4k/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($845 rent vs $45k).
It's been on market 190 days — a 12% lower offer ($40k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $40k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
In year one you build about $2k of equity ($311 loan paydown + $1k appreciation (3.0% local appreciation)).
Location reads 56/100 on livability (#132 in WY) — a working-class tenant base; expect higher turnover. Strengths: cost of living A+, employment B+, crime B; Watch: amenities F, commute F, housing D-.
Lincoln County School District #1 (rural): math 63% / reading 64% proficiency, ranked #4 of 41 in WY (top 10%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease; only 14% free/reduced lunch — higher-income household profile.
Zoned schools: Kemmerer Junior Senior High School (math 57% / reading 62%, grade C+, #11 of 75 statewide, top 18%, 264 students, 19% FRL) — zoned schools at 19% FRL track the district average.
Market conditions: 2 active listings in the ZIP; 220 units permitted in Lincoln County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Lincoln County population projected at +4% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
5 sale attempts since 12y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $5k (10%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
At projected returns (3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $13k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Questions for listing agent
It's been on market 190 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Built in 1977 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
CashFlowRE · CFR-BWWS53FBTBMRQS
· Data 2 days agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29