CashFlowRE
Sign in Sign up
153 Bobcat St
B+ Composite 75.82
Why this score? — see what drove the B+ grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • 1% rule +10.0/10.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • Schools +5.5/10.0
  • Appreciation +5.0/10.0
  • Livability +2.8/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0

$45,000

153 Bobcat St · Opal, WY 83124
2 bd · 1.0 ba · 728 sqft · SingleFamily · 190 Days on market
Built 1977 9,583 sqft lot

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Key facts

  • Mobile home
  • Releveled properly
  • New coating on roof

Tags

MOBILE HOMEOWN LOTRELEVELED PROPERLYSKIRTEDNEW COATING ON ROOFNICE SIZE MUDROOM

Property features AI

Exterior

  • Parking: No garage
  • Utilities: Public water; Public sewer; Propane
  • Home design: Residential mobile home (manufactured detached)
  • Construction: Masonite and metal siding; Aluminum roof
  • Exterior features: Covered patio/porch

Interior

  • Kitchen: Refrigerator; Range; Oven
  • Flooring: Carpet; Vinyl
  • Heating & cooling: Forced air heating; Has heating
  • Interior features: Refrigerator, Range, Oven; Carpet and vinyl flooring

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $45k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $356 ($4k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($845 rent vs $45k).
  • Recommended offer: $40k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 56/100 on livability (#132 in WY) — a working-class tenant base; expect higher turnover. Strengths: cost of living A+, employment B+, crime B; Watch: amenities F, commute F, housing D-.
  • Lincoln County School District #1 (rural): math 63% / reading 64% proficiency, ranked #4 of 41 in WY (top 10%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease; only 14% free/reduced lunch — higher-income household profile.
  • Zoned schools: Kemmerer Junior Senior High School (math 57% / reading 62%, grade C+, #11 of 75 statewide, top 18%, 264 students, 19% FRL) — zoned schools at 19% FRL track the district average.
  • Market conditions: 2 active listings in the ZIP; 220 units permitted in Lincoln County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • In year one you build about $2k of equity ($311 loan paydown + $1k appreciation (3.0% local appreciation)).
  • Lincoln County population projected at +4% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
  • At projected returns (3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $13k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 190 days — a 12% lower offer ($40k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 5 sale attempts since 12y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $5k (10%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
Recommended offer $39,600 (12.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 190 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Built in 1977 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  5. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  6. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  7. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  8. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.88%
Cap rate
15.79%
Cash-on-cash
33.93%
DSCR
2.51
GRM
4.4

CMA / ARV

No comps found within radius.

Projected returns pro-forma

3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
39.6%
Equity multiple
3.23×
Total profit
$28,125
Equity at exit
$20,234
10-year hold
IRR
39.6%
Equity multiple
6.42×
Total profit
$68,345
Equity at exit
$31,183

Cash invested: $12,600 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Wyoming
90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+25
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
3-day notice; strongly landlord-favorable; small market.

ZIP-level market 83124

Active inventory
2
Price-to-rent
4.4×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$845 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$236
Tax est. 1.5%
$56 /mo · $675/yr
Insurance
$19
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$177
Net cashflow
$356

Break-even live

Break-even rent $394
Max offer price $45,000
Occupancy floor 53%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$11,250
Closing costs
$1,350
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 24 events

  1. 2026-06-18
    days on market $45,000 Active 190 DOM
  2. 2026-06-17
    days on market $45,000 Active 189 DOM
  3. 2026-06-16
    days on market $45,000 Active 188 DOM
  4. 2026-06-15
    days on market $45,000 Active 187 DOM
  5. 2026-06-15
    days on market $45,000 Active 186 DOM
  6. 2026-06-13
    days on market $45,000 Active 185 DOM
  7. 2026-06-12
    days on market $45,000 Active 184 DOM
  8. 2026-06-09
    days on market $45,000 Active 181 DOM
  9. 2026-06-08
    days on market $45,000 Active 180 DOM
  10. 2026-06-08
    days on market $45,000 Active 179 DOM
  11. 2026-06-05
    days on market $45,000 Active 177 DOM
  12. 2026-06-04
    days on market $45,000 Active 176 DOM
  13. 2026-06-03
    days on market $45,000 Active 175 DOM
  14. 2026-06-02
    days on market $45,000 Active 174 DOM
  15. 2026-06-01
    days on market $45,000 Active 173 DOM
  16. 2026-05-31
    days on market $45,000 Active 172 DOM
  17. 2025-12-08
    listed $49,900 Active
  18. 2025-04-17
    status Active
  19. 2025-04-08
    status Pending
  20. 2024-06-18
    listed $45,000 Active
  21. 2023-09-28
    soldstatus
  22. 2023-09-28
    soldstatus
  23. 2023-06-16
    listed $40,000
  24. 2014-09-17
    listed $17,000

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 4/10 Moderate
  • 🌡 Heat 2/10 Low 7 d/yr ≥85°F today · 18 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 1/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

Loading sold comps map…

Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

Loading nearby amenities…

Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$10,136
− Mortgage interest
−$2,521
− Property taxes
−$675
− Insurance
−$225
− Repairs & maintenance
−$811
− Management
−$811
− Depreciation
−$1,309
Taxable income
$3,784
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$908
After-tax cash flow
$3,367/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Lincoln County School District #1
NCES district ID
5604030
Math proficiency
63% ▲ 1.00%
Reading proficiency
64% ▲ 1.00%
Median HH income
$62,382
Composite
55.16/100
National rank
#1277
State rank
#4 of 41 in WY

Livability — Opal

Score
56/100
State rank
#132
US rank
#22444

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime B Employment B+ Housing D- Health & safety F User ratings A

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Opal, WY
Population (ZIP)
125

Population outlook (Lincoln County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
19,890 people
By 2030
20,275 · +1.9%
By 2040
20,691 · +4.0%
By 2050
20,640 · +3.8%
By 2075
20,008 · +0.6%
By 2100
18,122 · -8.9%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (98%)
Race & ethnicity
White 98%
Common ancestry
Portuguese 2% Serbian 2%
Foreign-born
1% · China
Languages at home
99% English-only · Chinese 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Lincoln

2024 margin
Solid R (+68.3) · D 15.1% · R 83.5% · Other 1.4%
2008→2024 swing
-13.9pp toward R · 2008: -54.4pp · 2024: -68.3pp
All cycles
2024: R+68.3 2020: R+68.2 2016: R+67.6 2012: R+68.3 2008: R+54.4

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
Current HPI
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
F500 in state
0

Price history

+193.5% since first listed
8 events — show timeline
  • 2025-12-08 Listed $49,900 WMLS
  • 2025-04-17 Relisted WMLS
  • 2025-04-08 Pending WMLS
  • 2024-06-18 Listed $45,000 WMLS
  • 2023-09-28 Sold (Public Records) Public Records
  • 2023-09-28 Sold (MLS) WMLS
  • 2023-06-16 Listed $40,000 WMLS
  • 2014-09-17 Listed $17,000 WMLS

Property tax history

-7.2%/yr

Latest (2025): $20 · -24.3% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…