153 Bobcat St · Opal, WY
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 4/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $564 – $1,046
Heat risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Hot days now (above 85°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 18 days/yr
Wind risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 2 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 2 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Schools +5.5/10.0
- Appreciation +5.0/10.0
- Livability +2.8/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
$45,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Key facts
- Mobile home
- Releveled properly
- New coating on roof
Tags
Property features AI
Exterior
- Parking: No garage
- Utilities: Public water; Public sewer; Propane
- Home design: Residential mobile home (manufactured detached)
- Construction: Masonite and metal siding; Aluminum roof
- Exterior features: Covered patio/porch
Interior
- Kitchen: Refrigerator; Range; Oven
- Flooring: Carpet; Vinyl
- Heating & cooling: Forced air heating; Has heating
- Interior features: Refrigerator, Range, Oven; Carpet and vinyl flooring
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $45k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $356 ($4k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($845 rent vs $45k).
- Recommended offer: $40k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 56/100 on livability (#132 in WY) — a working-class tenant base; expect higher turnover. Strengths: cost of living A+, employment B+, crime B; Watch: amenities F, commute F, housing D-.
- Lincoln County School District #1 (rural): math 63% / reading 64% proficiency, ranked #4 of 41 in WY (top 10%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease; only 14% free/reduced lunch — higher-income household profile.
- Zoned schools: Kemmerer Junior Senior High School (math 57% / reading 62%, grade C+, #11 of 75 statewide, top 18%, 264 students, 19% FRL) — zoned schools at 19% FRL track the district average.
- Market conditions: 2 active listings in the ZIP; 220 units permitted in Lincoln County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- In year one you build about $2k of equity ($311 loan paydown + $1k appreciation (3.0% local appreciation)).
- Lincoln County population projected at +4% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
- At projected returns (3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $13k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 190 days — a 12% lower offer ($40k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 5 sale attempts since 12y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $5k (10%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 190 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1977 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.88% ✓
- Cap rate
- 15.79%
- Cash-on-cash
- 33.93%
- DSCR
- 2.51
- GRM
- 4.4
CMA / ARV
No comps found within radius.
Projected returns pro-forma
3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 39.6%
- Equity multiple
- 3.23×
- Total profit
- $28,125
- Equity at exit
- $20,234
- IRR
- 39.6%
- Equity multiple
- 6.42×
- Total profit
- $68,345
- Equity at exit
- $31,183
Cash invested: $12,600 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Wyoming
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+25
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 83124
- Active inventory
- 2
- Price-to-rent
- 4.4×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $845 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$236
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$56 /mo · $675/yr
- Insurance
- −$19
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$177
- Net cashflow
- $356
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $11,250
- Closing costs
- $1,350
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 24 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $45,000 Active 190 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $45,000 Active 189 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $45,000 Active 188 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $45,000 Active 187 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $45,000 Active 186 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $45,000 Active 185 DOM
-
2026-06-12days on market $45,000 Active 184 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $45,000 Active 181 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $45,000 Active 180 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $45,000 Active 179 DOM
-
2026-06-05days on market $45,000 Active 177 DOM
-
2026-06-04days on market $45,000 Active 176 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $45,000 Active 175 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $45,000 Active 174 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $45,000 Active 173 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $45,000 Active 172 DOM
-
2025-12-08$49,900 Active
-
2025-04-17status Active
-
2025-04-08status Pending
-
2024-06-18$45,000 Active
-
2023-09-28soldstatus
-
2023-09-28soldstatus
-
2023-06-16$40,000
-
2014-09-17$17,000
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 4/10 Moderate
- Heat 2/10 Low 7 d/yr ≥85°F today · 18 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 1/10 Low
- Air quality 2/10 Low 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $10,136
- − Mortgage interest
- −$2,521
- − Property taxes
- −$675
- − Insurance
- −$225
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$811
- − Management
- −$811
- − Depreciation
- −$1,309
- Taxable income
- $3,784
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$908
- After-tax cash flow
- $3,367/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Lincoln County School District #1
- NCES district ID
- 5604030
- Math proficiency
- 63% ▲ 1.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 64% ▲ 1.00%
- Median HH income
- $62,382
- Composite
- 55.16/100
- National rank
- #1277
- State rank
- #4 of 41 in WY
Livability — Opal
- Score
- 56/100
- State rank
- #132
- US rank
- #22444
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Opal, WY
- Population (ZIP)
- 125
Population outlook (Lincoln County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 19,890 people
- By 2030
- 20,275 · +1.9%
- By 2040
- 20,691 · +4.0%
- By 2050
- 20,640 · +3.8%
- By 2075
- 20,008 · +0.6%
- By 2100
- 18,122 · -8.9%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (98%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 98%
- Common ancestry
- Portuguese 2% Serbian 2%
- Foreign-born
- 1% · China
- Languages at home
- 99% English-only · Chinese 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Lincoln
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+68.3) · D 15.1% · R 83.5% · Other 1.4%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -13.9pp toward R · 2008: -54.4pp · 2024: -68.3pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+68.3 2020: R+68.2 2016: R+67.6 2012: R+68.3 2008: R+54.4
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- —
- Current HPI
- —
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- —
- F500 in state
- 0
Price history
+193.5% since first listed8 events — show timeline
- 2025-12-08 Listed $49,900 WMLS
- 2025-04-17 Relisted — WMLS
- 2025-04-08 Pending — WMLS
- 2024-06-18 Listed $45,000 WMLS
- 2023-09-28 Sold (Public Records) — Public Records
- 2023-09-28 Sold (MLS) — WMLS
- 2023-06-16 Listed $40,000 WMLS
- 2014-09-17 Listed $17,000 WMLS
Property tax history
-7.2%/yrLatest (2025): $20 · -24.3% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…