4 bd · 1.5 ba ·
2,482 sqft ·
Built 1900
· SingleFamily
· Active
· 67 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,280/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$786
Tax + insurance
−$250
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$269
Net cashflow
$-24/mo
Annual
$-293/yr
Cap rate
6.10%
Cash-on-cash
-0.70%
DSCR
0.97
1% rule
0.85%
Cash to close
$41,972
Investor read
This is a 4-bed/1.5-bath single-family listed at $150k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $-24 ($-293/yr) — negative.
To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $146k (2.4% below list).
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $128k (14.6% below list).
It's been on market 67 days — a 6% lower offer ($141k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $128k (14.6% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 72/100 on livability (#262 in MI) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: amenities F, commute F, employment F.
Evart Public Schools (rural): math 27% / reading 34% proficiency, ranked #367 of 540 in MI (top 68%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; 60% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
Zoned schools: Evart Elementary School (math 42% / reading 37%, grade F, #606 of 1,397 statewide, top 48%, 353 students, 72% FRL); Evart Middle School (math 21% / reading 32%, grade F, #381 of 493 statewide, top 77%, 255 students, 76% FRL); Evart High School (math 24% / reading 44%, grade F, #372 of 713 statewide, top 56%, 281 students, 67% FRL).
Watch-outs: built in 1900 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Market conditions: 89 active listings in the ZIP; 5 units permitted in Osceola County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Osceola County population projected at -24% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
18 sale attempts since 20y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $10k (6%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
Cap rate 6.1% vs local median 3.3% in Evart — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Questions for listing agent
What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
It's been on market 67 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 15% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Built in 1900 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
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· Data 3 h agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29