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5500 85th Ave
D Composite 43.58
Why this score? — see what drove the D grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • ARV discount +12.8/15.0
  • Cash flow +12.4/30.0
  • DSCR +3.7/10.0
  • Livability +3.6/5.0
  • 1% rule +3.5/10.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +2.5/10.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$149,900

5500 85th Ave · Evart, MI 49631
4 bd · 1.5 ba · 2,482 sqft · SingleFamily · 67 Days on market
Built 1900 0.50 ac lot $60/sqft · 12% below area Est $170k · 12% under

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Welcome to 5500 85th Ave in Evart! This charming 4-bedroom, 1.5-bath home offers ample living space and a comfortable layout perfect for everyday living or a relaxing getaway. Inside, you'll find generously sized rooms with plenty of natural light, creating a warm and inviting atmosphere. The home features a covered porch-ideal for enjoying your morning coffee or unwinding in the evening. With its close proximity to Lake Lure, youll have easy access to outdoor recreation, including boating, fishing, and scenic views. This property combines space, location, and potential. Dont miss the opportunity to make it your own!

Key facts

  • Covered porch
  • 0.5 acre lot
  • Built 1900

Tags

COVERED PORCHCLOSE PROXIMITY TO LAKE LURE

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 4-bed/1.5-bath single-family listed at $150k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $-24 ($-293/yr) — negative.
  • To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $146k (2.4% below list).
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $128k (14.6% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $128k (14.6% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
  • Cap rate 6.1% vs local median 3.3% in Evart — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 72/100 on livability (#262 in MI) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: amenities F, commute F, employment F.
  • Evart Public Schools (rural): math 27% / reading 34% proficiency, ranked #367 of 540 in MI (top 68%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; 60% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Zoned schools: Evart Elementary School (math 42% / reading 37%, grade F, #606 of 1,397 statewide, top 48%, 353 students, 72% FRL); Evart Middle School (math 21% / reading 32%, grade F, #381 of 493 statewide, top 77%, 255 students, 76% FRL); Evart High School (math 24% / reading 44%, grade F, #372 of 713 statewide, top 56%, 281 students, 67% FRL).
  • Market conditions: 89 active listings in the ZIP; 5 units permitted in Osceola County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Osceola County population projected at -24% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 67 days — a 6% lower offer ($141k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 18 sale attempts since 20y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $10k (6%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1900 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Recommended offer $128,036 (14.6% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
  2. It's been on market 67 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 15% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  3. Built in 1900 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  4. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  5. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  6. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  7. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  8. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  9. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  10. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.85%
Cap rate
6.10%
Cash-on-cash
-0.70%
DSCR
0.97
GRM
9.8

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$169,898
List price
$149,900
Delta
-11.77%
Verdict
UNDERPRICED
Comps
14 within 1.0 mi

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-17.4%
Equity multiple
0.38×
Total profit
$-25,827
Equity at exit
$22,351
10-year hold
IRR
-9.4%
Equity multiple
0.42×
Total profit
$-24,415
Equity at exit
$12,961

Cash invested: $41,972 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
62 Landlord-Friendly
State Michigan
62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
7-day pay-or-quit; mixed climate; Detroit/AA have some protections.

ZIP-level market 49631

Home prices YoY
-9.8%
Active inventory
89
Price-to-rent
9.8×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,280 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$786
Tax est. 1.5%
$187 /mo · $2,248/yr
Insurance
$62
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$269
Net cashflow
$-24

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,311
Max offer price $146,365
Occupancy floor 97%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $79 -5% $27 +0% $-24 +5% $-76 +10% $-128
Rent -10% $-126 -5% $-75 +0% $-24 +5% $26 +10% $77
Rate -1.0pp $51 -0.5pp $14 base $-24 +0.5pp $-63 +1.0pp $-103

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$37,475
Closing costs
$4,497
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 50 events

  1. 2026-06-22
    days on market $149,900 Active 67 DOM
  2. 2026-06-21
    days on market $149,900 Active 66 DOM
  3. 2026-06-19
    days on market $149,900 Active 64 DOM
  4. 2026-06-18
    days on market $149,900 Active 63 DOM
  5. 2026-06-17
    days on market $149,900 Active 62 DOM
  6. 2026-06-16
    days on market $149,900 Active 61 DOM
  7. 2026-06-15
    days on market $149,900 Active 60 DOM
  8. 2026-06-14
    days on market $149,900 Active 58 DOM
  9. 2026-06-12
    days on market $149,900 Active 57 DOM
  10. 2026-06-09
    days on market $149,900 Active 54 DOM
  11. 2026-06-08
    days on market $149,900 Active 53 DOM
  12. 2026-06-07
    days on market $149,900 Active 52 DOM
  13. 2026-06-05
    days on market $149,900 Active 50 DOM
  14. 2026-06-04
    days on market $149,900 Active 48 DOM
  15. 2026-06-02
    days on market $149,900 Active 47 DOM
  16. 2026-06-01
    days on market $149,900 Active 46 DOM
  17. 2026-05-31
    days on market $149,900 Active 45 DOM
  18. 2026-05-31
    days on market $149,900 Active 44 DOM
  19. 2026-04-16
    listed $159,900 Active 625-char remark
    Show marketing remark (625 chars)

    Welcome to 5500 85th Ave in Evart! This charming 4-bedroom, 1.5-bath home offers ample living space and a comfortable layout perfect for everyday living or a relaxing getaway. Inside, you'll find generously sized rooms with plenty of natural light, creating a warm and inviting atmosphere. The home features a covered porch-ideal for enjoying your morning coffee or unwinding in the evening. With its close proximity to Lake Lure, youll have easy access to outdoor recreation, including boating, fishing, and scenic views. This property combines space, location, and potential. Dont miss the opportunity to make it your own!

  20. 2026-04-15
    listed $159,900 Active 683-char remark
    Show marketing remark (683 chars)

    Welcome to 5500 85th Ave in Evart! This charming 4-bedroom, 1.5-bath home offers ample living space and a comfortable layout perfect for everyday living or a relaxing getaway. Inside, you'll find generously sized rooms with plenty of natural light, creating a warm and inviting atmosphere. The home features a covered porch—ideal for enjoying your morning coffee or unwinding in the evening. With its close proximity to Lake Lure, you’ll have easy access to outdoor recreation, including boating, fishing, and scenic views. This property combines space, location, and potential. Don’t miss the opportunity to make it your own!

  21. 2023-06-30
    soldstatus $180,000 Sold
  22. 2023-06-30
    soldstatus $180,000 Sold
  23. 2023-05-15
    status Pending
  24. 2023-05-15
    status Pending
  25. 2023-05-15
    status Pending
  26. 2023-05-08
    historical Accepting Backup Offers
  27. 2023-05-08
    historical Accepting Backup Offers
  28. 2023-05-08
    historical Active - Backup Offers Accepted
  29. 2023-05-02
    price $172,900
  30. 2023-05-01
    price $172,900
  31. 2023-05-01
    status Active
  32. 2023-05-01
    status Active
  33. 2023-05-01
    status Active
  34. 2023-05-01
    price $172,900
  35. 2023-04-24
    historical Accepting Backup Offers
  36. 2023-04-24
    historical Accepting Backup Offers
  37. 2023-04-24
    historical Active - Backup Offers Accepted
  38. 2023-04-03
    listed $180,000 Active
  39. 2023-04-03
    listed $180,000 Active
  40. 2023-04-03
    listed $180,000 Active
  41. 2022-03-23
    soldstatus $139,900 Sold
  42. 2022-03-23
    soldstatus $139,900 Sold
  43. 2022-02-11
    status Pending
  44. 2022-02-11
    status Pending
  45. 2022-01-15
    status Active
  46. 2022-01-14
    status Active
  47. 2021-12-01
    status Pending
  48. 2021-12-01
    status Pending
  49. 2021-11-01
    price $139,900
  50. 2021-11-01
    price $139,900

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
  • 🌡 Heat 2/10 Low 7 d/yr ≥94°F today · 14 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 1/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

Loading nearby amenities…

Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$15,364
− Mortgage interest
−$8,397
− Property taxes
−$2,248
− Insurance
−$750
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,229
− Management
−$1,229
− Depreciation
−$4,361
Taxable loss
−$2,849
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$684
After-tax cash flow
$391/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Evart Public Schools
NCES district ID
2613560
Math proficiency
27% ▲ 2.00%
Reading proficiency
34% ▬ 0.00%
Median HH income
$37,734
Composite
25.42/100
National rank
#7455
State rank
#367 of 540 in MI

Livability — Evart

Score
72/100
State rank
#262
US rank
#6440

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime A Employment F Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings B+

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Population (ZIP)
5,646

Population outlook (Osceola County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
21,724 people
By 2030
20,769 · -4.4%
By 2040
18,720 · -13.8%
By 2050
16,611 · -23.5%
By 2075
11,942 · -45.0%
By 2100
7,546 · -65.3%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (92%)
Race & ethnicity
White 92% Two or more races 4% Hispanic / Latino 2%
Common ancestry
Iranian 5% Romanian 4% Slovak 2%
Foreign-born
2% · Canada
Languages at home
98% English-only · Spanish 1% German/W. Germanic 1% Tagalog/Filipino 0%

Political lean MEDSL · Osceola

2024 margin
Solid R (+47.9) · D 25.2% · R 73.1% · Other 1.7%
2008→2024 swing
-37.7pp toward R · 2008: -10.1pp · 2024: -47.9pp
All cycles
2024: R+47.9 2020: R+46.3 2016: R+43.7 2012: R+21.0 2008: R+10.1

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -30.25%
Current HPI
277.6004
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.37%
F500 in state
28

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MI)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+539.6% since first listed
47 events — show timeline
  • 2026-04-16 Listed $159,900 REALCOMP
  • 2026-04-15 Listed $159,900 MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2023-06-30 Sold (MLS) $180,000 SW Michigan MLS
  • 2023-06-30 Sold (MLS) $180,000 REALCOMP
  • 2023-05-15 Pending REALCOMP
  • 2023-05-15 Pending MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2023-05-15 Pending SW Michigan MLS
  • 2023-05-08 Contingent MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2023-05-08 Contingent REALCOMP
  • 2023-05-08 Contingent SW Michigan MLS
  • 2023-05-02 Price Changed $172,900 MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2023-05-01 Price Changed $172,900 REALCOMP
  • 2023-05-01 Relisted REALCOMP
  • 2023-05-01 Relisted MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2023-05-01 Relisted SW Michigan MLS
  • 2023-05-01 Price Changed $172,900 SW Michigan MLS
  • 2023-04-24 Contingent MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2023-04-24 Contingent REALCOMP
  • 2023-04-24 Contingent SW Michigan MLS
  • 2023-04-03 Listed $180,000 SW Michigan MLS
  • 2023-04-03 Listed $180,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2023-04-03 Listed $180,000 REALCOMP
  • 2022-03-23 Sold (MLS) $139,900 SW Michigan MLS
  • 2022-03-23 Sold (MLS) $139,900 REALCOMP
  • 2022-02-11 Pending SW Michigan MLS
  • 2022-02-11 Pending REALCOMP
  • 2022-01-15 Relisted REALCOMP
  • 2022-01-14 Relisted SW Michigan MLS
  • 2021-12-01 Pending REALCOMP
  • 2021-12-01 Pending SW Michigan MLS
  • 2021-11-01 Price Changed $139,900 REALCOMP
  • 2021-11-01 Price Changed $139,900 SW Michigan MLS
  • 2021-09-30 Listed $139,900 MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2021-09-30 Listed $159,900 SW Michigan MLS
  • 2021-09-30 Listed $159,900 REALCOMP
  • 2010-10-27 Sold (Public Records) $14,500 Public Records
  • 2010-10-27 Sold (MLS) $14,500 SW Michigan MLS
  • 2010-10-27 Sold (MLS) $14,500 REALCOMP
  • 2010-10-01 Sold (Public Records) $14,500 Public Records
  • 2010-04-26 Listed $19,900 SW Michigan MLS
  • 2010-04-26 Listed $19,900 REALCOMP
  • 2009-04-10 Listing Removed REALCOMP
  • 2008-09-10 Listed $35,000 REALCOMP
  • 2007-02-26 Sold (MLS) $23,000 REALCOMP
  • 2007-02-26 Sold (MLS) $23,000 SW Michigan MLS
  • 2006-08-11 Listed $25,000 REALCOMP
  • 2006-08-11 Listed $25,000 SW Michigan MLS

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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