2 bd · 2.0 ba ·
1,120 sqft ·
Built 1980
· Manufactured
· Pending
· 91 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,008/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$545
Tax + insurance
−$173
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$212
Net cashflow
$78/mo
Annual
$941/yr
Cap rate
7.20%
Cash-on-cash
3.23%
DSCR
1.14
1% rule
0.97%
Cash to close
$29,092
Investor read
This is a 2-bed/2.0-bath manufactured listed at $104k. Condition is rated fair.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $78 ($941/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $101k (3.0% below list).
It's been on market 91 days — a 9% lower offer ($95k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $95k (9.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
In year one you build about $4k of equity ($718 loan paydown + $3k appreciation (3.0% local appreciation)).
Location reads 68/100 on livability (#475 in TX) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: employment D, amenities F, commute F.
West Rusk County Consolidated ISD (rural): math 41% / reading 43% proficiency, ranked #351 of 826 in TX (top 42%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; 65% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
Market conditions: 7 active listings in the ZIP; 4 units permitted in Rusk County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Rusk County population projected to shrink 5% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
At projected returns (3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $29k cash investment doubles in ~6 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
By year 9, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$33k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Questions for listing agent
It's been on market 91 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 9% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Have any recent inspections been done? Can we get a copy of the seller's disclosures and any deferred-maintenance estimates?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Repairs flagged (vision-AI assessment)
Moderate: Exterior siding
— Weathered and may need repainting.
Moderate: Landscaping
— Overgrown and in need of trimming.
Minor: Kitchen cabinets
— Dated but not severely damaged.
Minor: Bathroom fixtures
— Dated but functional and not severely damaged.
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· Data 2 days agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29