3 bd · 1.0 ba ·
1,036 sqft ·
Built 1959
· SingleFamily
· Active
· 151 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,494/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$1,087
Tax + insurance
−$345
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$314
Net cashflow
$-251/mo
Annual
$-3,016/yr
Cap rate
4.84%
Cash-on-cash
-5.20%
DSCR
0.77
1% rule
0.72%
Cash to close
$58,016
Investor read
This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $38k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $-251 ($-3k/yr) — negative.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $38k).
It's been on market 151 days — a 12% lower offer ($33k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $33k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
In year one you build about $22k of equity ($1k loan paydown + $21k appreciation (10.0% local appreciation)).
Location reads 76/100 on livability (#186 in IL, #3,539 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: commute A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: crime D, amenities D, employment D.
Bremen Chsd 228 (suburban): math 15% / reading 17% proficiency, ranked #468 of 620 in IL (top 76%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
Watch-outs: property tax is 8.2% of price; built in 1959 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Market conditions: 65 active listings in the ZIP; 4 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals leasing fast (median 8d on market — plan ~1-2 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 6,272 units permitted in Cook County in 2024 (4,658 in 5+ unit buildings).
4 sale attempts since 19y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $7k (16%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
By year 2, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$36k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Cap rate 4.8% vs local median 10.1% in Markham — below-typical yield; the buyer is paying a premium for something (appreciation thesis, condition, location) that the cap rate doesn't capture.
Questions for listing agent
What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
It's been on market 151 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Built in 1959 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Property tax is high relative to price — has the assessment been appealed recently, and will the sale trigger a re-assessment?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
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· Data 8 h agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29