4 bd · 4.0 ba ·
1,704 sqft ·
Built 1977
· MultiFamily
· Active
· 18 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$5,018/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$2,963
Tax + insurance
−$682
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$1,054
Net cashflow
$319/mo
Annual
$3,831/yr
Cap rate
6.97%
Cash-on-cash
2.42%
DSCR
1.11
1% rule
0.89%
Cash to close
$158,200
Investor read
This is a 4-bed/4.0-bath multifamily listed at $565k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $319 ($4k/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $502k (11.2% below list).
It's been on market 18 days — a 2% lower offer ($557k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $502k (11.2% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $4k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $17k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads: area grade D — affects rentability + tenant quality, not the cash-flow math above.
Oxford School District (rural): math 42% / reading 61% proficiency, ranked #67 of 153 in CT (top 44%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease; only 6% free/reduced lunch — higher-income household profile.
Zoned schools: Quaker Farms School (405 students, 15% FRL); Oxford Middle School (math 33% / reading 57%, grade D, #92 of 175 statewide, top 52%, 410 students, 15% FRL); Oxford High School (math 47% / reading 67%, grade C, #52 of 194 statewide, top 31%, 527 students, 12% FRL).
Market conditions: 71 active listings in the ZIP; 502 units permitted in Naugatuck Valley Planning Region in 2024 (171 in 5+ unit buildings).
2 sale attempts since 6y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Current owner paid $318k; list at $565k implies a 78% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 27% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→16/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for listing agent
Built in 1977 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.
CashFlowRE · CFR-BZ1JFN4HEKZQGB
· Data 18 h agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29