3 bd · 2.5 ba ·
2,180 sqft ·
Built 2025
· SingleFamily
· Active
· 467 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$3,995/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$1,621
Tax + insurance
−$515
HOA
−$8
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$839
Net cashflow
$1,012/mo
Annual
$12,143/yr
Cap rate
10.22%
Cash-on-cash
14.03%
DSCR
1.62
1% rule
1.29%
Cash to close
$86,549
Investor read
This is a 3-bed/2.5-bath single-family listed at $309k. Condition is rated excellent.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $1k ($12k/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($4k rent vs $309k).
It's been on market 467 days — a 12% lower offer ($272k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $272k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $9k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 69/100 on livability (#200 in IN) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, crime B+; Watch: employment C-, schools D+, amenities F.
Greensburg Community Schools (town): math 38% / reading 51% proficiency, ranked #102 of 301 in IN (top 34%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
Market conditions: 155 active listings in the ZIP; 1 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 66 units permitted in Decatur County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Decatur County population projected at +6% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
5 sale attempts; this cycle's ask is 17% above the opening price — seller raised mid-cycle; expect resistance to lowballs.
Current owner paid $265k; 17% above their basis — modest negotiation headroom, anchor on the comps not their cost.
At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $87k cash investment doubles in ~9 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Cap rate 10.2% vs local median 5.9% in Greensburg — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Questions for listing agent
It's been on market 467 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
CashFlowRE · CFR-BZDST64FF1JBM6
· Data 2 days agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29