5 bd · 2.5 ba ·
2,177 sqft ·
Built —
· SingleFamily
· Active
· 521 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$2,908/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$1,746
Tax + insurance
−$555
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$611
Net cashflow
$-4/mo
Annual
$-53/yr
Cap rate
6.28%
Cash-on-cash
-0.06%
DSCR
1.00
1% rule
0.87%
Cash to close
$93,250
Investor read
This is a 5-bed/2.5-bath single-family listed at $318k. Condition is rated excellent.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $-4 ($-53/yr) — negative.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $291k (8.7% below list).
It's been on market 521 days — a 12% lower offer ($280k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $280k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $10k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 68/100 on livability (#149 in GA) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, crime B+; Watch: amenities F, commute F, health & safety F.
Houston County (urban): math 43% / reading 46% proficiency, ranked #23 of 174 in GA (top 13%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
Zoned schools: Matthew Arthur Elementary School (math 72% / reading 71%, grade A-, #47 of 1,228 statewide, top 4%, 873 students, 29% FRL); Perry Middle School (math 53% / reading 51%, grade C+, #60 of 470 statewide, top 13%, 1,070 students, 51% FRL); Veterans High School (math 33% / reading 32%, grade F, #104 of 424 statewide, top 25%, 1,914 students, 30% FRL).
Market conditions: 333 active listings in the ZIP; 2 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; high-income renter base; 1,545 units permitted in Houston County in 2024 (336 in 5+ unit buildings).
Houston County population projected at +22% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
Cap rate 6.3% vs local median 4.5% in Perry — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Questions for listing agent
What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
It's been on market 521 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
CashFlowRE · CFR-C07TE6B0EB4HM8
· Data 13 h agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29