🏗️ New Construction
Boston Plan · Perry, GA
Flood risk No data
- FEMA flood zone
- —
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
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- Est. flood insurance / yr
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Fire risk No data
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- —
Heat risk No data
- Hot days now (above threshold)
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- Hot days in 30 yrs
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Wind risk No data
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
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Air-quality risk No data
- Unhealthy air days now
- —
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
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Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +13.2/30.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Schools +5.2/10.0
- Condition / age +4.8/5.0
- DSCR +4.0/10.0
- 1% rule +3.7/10.0
- Livability +3.4/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$318,400
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
This new two-story home is designed to meet modern families' needs. The first floor hosts an open-plan layout connecting the kitchen, dining room and living room. A laundry room is conveniently situated on the main floor. Upstairs, a versatile loft provides additional shared-living space, while five bedrooms include a lavish owner's suite with a generously sized walk-in closet and luxe bathroom.
Key facts
- Laundry room
- Walk-in closet
- Luxe bathroom
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 5-bed/2.5-bath single-family listed at $318k. Condition is rated excellent.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $-4 ($-53/yr) — negative.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $291k (8.7% below list).
- Recommended offer: $280k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 6.3% vs local median 4.5% in Perry — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 68/100 on livability (#149 in GA) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, crime B+; Watch: amenities F, commute F, health & safety F.
- Houston County (urban): math 43% / reading 46% proficiency, ranked #23 of 174 in GA (top 13%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Zoned schools: Matthew Arthur Elementary School (math 72% / reading 71%, grade A-, #47 of 1,228 statewide, top 4%, 873 students, 29% FRL); Perry Middle School (math 53% / reading 51%, grade C+, #60 of 470 statewide, top 13%, 1,070 students, 51% FRL); Veterans High School (math 33% / reading 32%, grade F, #104 of 424 statewide, top 25%, 1,914 students, 30% FRL).
- Market conditions: 333 active listings in the ZIP; 2 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; high-income renter base; 1,545 units permitted in Houston County in 2024 (336 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $10k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Houston County population projected at +22% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 521 days — a 12% lower offer ($280k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Questions for the listing agent
- What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
- It's been on market 521 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.87% ✗
- Cap rate
- 6.28%
- Cash-on-cash
- -0.06%
- DSCR
- 1.00
- GRM
- 9.5
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $333,037
- List price
- $318,400
- Delta
- -4.40%
- Verdict
- FAIR
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 130 Rolling Meadow Way | 0.02mi | 5/2.5 | 2,177 (0%) | 9mo | $285,000 | $131 | 91 |
| 122 Rolling Meadow Way | 0.02mi | 5/2.5 | 2,177 (0%) | 11mo | $325,000 | $149 | 90 |
| 223 Hickory Ridge Trl | 0.11mi | 5/2.5 | 2,260 (+4%) | 11mo | $365,000 | $162 | 79 |
| 106 Rolling Meadow Way | 0.03mi | 4/2.0 (-1) | 1,953 (-10%) | 3mo | $359,900 | $184 | 72 |
| 106 Rolling Meadow Way Lot 414 | 0.03mi | 4/2.0 (-1) | 1,953 (-10%) | 3mo | $359,900 | $184 | 72 |
| 207 Old Hollow Way | 0.16mi | 5/3.0 | 2,499 (+15%) | 2mo | $440,000 | $176 | 64 |
| 119 Fieldview Ln | 0.09mi | 4/2.0 (-1) | 1,953 (-10%) | 10mo | $350,000 | $179 | 63 |
| 107 Fieldview Ln | 0.11mi | 4/2.0 (-1) | 1,951 (-10%) | 11mo | $355,900 | $182 | 61 |
| 103 Fieldview Ln | 0.13mi | 4/2.0 (-1) | 1,883 (-14%) | 6mo | $345,000 | $183 | 59 |
| 508 Amberley Ct | 0.65mi | 4/2.0 (-1) | 2,052 (-6%) | 2mo | $300,000 | $146 | 51 |
| 243 Flowing Meadows Dr | 0.74mi | 4/2.5 (-1) | 2,169 (-0%) | 11mo | $278,000 | $128 | 50 |
| 309 Sunset Ln | 0.68mi | 4/3.0 (-1) | 2,062 (-5%) | 5mo | $369,900 | $179 | 48 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -16.4%
- Equity multiple
- 0.42×
- Total profit
- $-54,205
- Equity at exit
- $49,657
- IRR
- -8.1%
- Equity multiple
- 0.49×
- Total profit
- $-47,387
- Equity at exit
- $28,795
Cash invested: $93,250 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Georgia
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
Active competition Active MLS
- For sale now
- 28 active · 10 under contract
- Months of supply
- 10.5 mo (10%/mo absorbed)
- Median asking
- $336,900 ($174/sqft)
- Median days on market
- 114 d
- This list price
- 11% of active listings are priced below it
- ARV vs active asking
- -11.9% vs current asking $/sqft
Closed sales set the value; these active listings set current market conditions and a practical price ceiling.
ZIP-level market 31047
- Home prices YoY
- -14.4%
- Active inventory
- 333
- Price-to-rent
- 9.1×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $2,908 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$1,746
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$416 /mo · $4,996/yr
- Insurance
- −$139
- HOA
- −$0
- Lot rent
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$611
- Net cashflow
- $-4
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $226 | -5% $111 | +0% $-4 | +5% $-120 | +10% $-235 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $-234 | -5% $-119 | +0% $-4 | +5% $110 | +10% $225 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $163 | -0.5pp $80 | base $-4 | +0.5pp $-91 | +1.0pp $-179 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $83,259
- Closing costs
- $9,991
- Club membership (one-time)
- —
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Cash invested
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Cash invested
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Cash invested
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 2 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 114 Linda Sue Ln Kathleen, GA | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1976 | $1,700 | $0.86 | 70d | 1 | 1.10mi |
| 109 Hidesta Ct Kathleen, GA | 5.0 | 3.0 | 2657 | $2,575 | $0.97 | 93d | 1 | 1.16mi |
Listing history 50 events
-
2026-08-08days on market $318,400 Active 521 DOM
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2026-08-07days on market $318,400 Active 520 DOM
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2026-08-06days on market $318,400 Active 519 DOM
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2026-08-05days on market $318,400 Active 518 DOM
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2026-08-04days on market $318,400 Active 517 DOM
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2026-08-03days on market $318,400 Active 516 DOM
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2026-07-31days on market $318,400 Active 513 DOM
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2026-07-30days on market $318,400 Active 512 DOM
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2026-07-29days on market $318,400 Active 511 DOM
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2026-07-27days on market $318,400 Active 509 DOM
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2026-07-25days on market $318,400 Active 507 DOM
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2026-07-24days on market $318,400 Active 506 DOM
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2026-07-23days on market $318,400 Active 505 DOM
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2026-07-22days on market $318,400 Active 504 DOM
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2026-07-21days on market $318,400 Active 503 DOM
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2026-07-18days on market $318,400 Active 500 DOM
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2026-07-16days on market $318,400 Active 498 DOM
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2026-07-16days on market $318,400 Active 497 DOM
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2026-07-14days on market $318,400 Active 496 DOM
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2026-07-13days on market $318,400 Active 495 DOM
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2026-07-12days on market $318,400 Active 494 DOM
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2026-07-11days on market $318,400 Active 493 DOM
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2026-07-10days on market $318,400 Active 492 DOM
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2026-07-09days on market $318,400 Active 491 DOM
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2026-07-08days on market $318,400 Active 490 DOM
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2026-07-07days on market $318,400 Active 489 DOM
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2026-07-06days on market $318,400 Active 488 DOM
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2026-07-05days on market $318,400 Active 487 DOM
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2026-07-04days on market $318,400 Active 486 DOM
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2026-07-03days on market $318,400 Active 485 DOM
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2026-07-02days on market $318,400 Active 484 DOM
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2026-07-01days on market $318,400 Active 483 DOM
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2026-06-30days on market $318,400 Active 482 DOM
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2026-06-29days on market $318,400 Active 481 DOM
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2026-06-28days on market $318,400 Active 480 DOM
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2026-06-28days on market $318,400 Active 479 DOM
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2026-06-27days on market $318,400 Active 478 DOM
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2026-06-25days on market $318,400 Active 476 DOM
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2026-06-23days on market $318,400 Active 474 DOM
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2026-06-21days on market $318,400 Active 473 DOM
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2026-06-19days on market $318,400 Active 471 DOM
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2026-06-18days on market $318,400 Active 470 DOM
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2026-06-17days on market $318,400 Active 469 DOM
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2026-06-16days on market $318,400 Active 468 DOM
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2026-06-15days on market $318,400 Active 467 DOM
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2026-06-14days on market $318,400 Active 465 DOM
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2026-06-13days on market $318,400 Active 464 DOM
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2026-06-10days on market $318,400 Active 462 DOM
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2026-06-09days on market $318,400 Active 461 DOM
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2026-06-08days on market $318,400 Active 460 DOM
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $34,893
- − Mortgage interest
- −$18,655
- − Property taxes
- −$4,996
- − Insurance
- −$1,665
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$2,791
- − Management
- −$2,791
- − Depreciation
- −$9,688
- Taxable loss
- −$5,694
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$1,367
- After-tax cash flow
- $1,313/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Condition & rehab AI · 12 photos
This two-story home is in excellent condition with modern finishes and a well-maintained exterior. It offers a good return on investment with potential for further value increases through minor exterior updates and smart home features.
Value-add opportunities
- Both Painting the exterior siding — Enhances curb appeal and can increase both resale and rental value. ↑
- Both Landscaping improvements — Enhances curb appeal and can increase both resale and rental value. ↑
- Resale Updating the kitchen appliances — Modern appliances can attract more buyers and increase the home's value. ↑
- Both Adding smart home features — Can increase both resale and rental value by making the home more energy-efficient and convenient for potential buyers and renters. ↑
Zoned Schools
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Houston County
- NCES district ID
- 1302880
- Math proficiency
- 43% ▼ -7.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 46% ▼ -2.00%
- Median HH income
- $54,823
- Composite
- 38.68/100
- National rank
- #4144
- State rank
- #23 of 174 in GA
Livability — Perry
- Score
- 68/100
- State rank
- #149
- US rank
- #9757
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Perry, GA
- County
- Houston County · 169,502 people
- City population
- 22,953
- Metro
- Warner Robins, GA
- Population (ZIP)
- 20,203
- Household income
- $117,332
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 3% of renters
Population outlook (Houston County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 169,502 people
- By 2030
- 178,486 · +5.3%
- By 2040
- 194,642 · +14.8%
- By 2050
- 207,119 · +22.2%
- By 2075
- 231,480 · +36.6%
- By 2100
- 235,034 · +38.7%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Majority White (65%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 65% Black 18% Two or more races 12% Hispanic / Latino 8% Asian 3%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 3% Cuban 2%
- Common ancestry
- Italian 3% Slovak 3% Lithuanian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 6% · Canada, South Korea, Jamaica
- Languages at home
- 94% English-only · Spanish 4% Korean 1% Tagalog/Filipino 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Houston
- 2024 margin
- R (+11.3) · D 44.0% · R 55.3%
- 2008→2024 swing
- +8.9pp toward D · 2008: -20.2pp · 2024: -11.3pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+11.3 2020: R+12.4 2016: R+21.6 2012: R+20.7 2008: R+20.2
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -36.77%
- Current HPI
- 218.1333
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- Warner Robins, GA
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.66%
- F500 in state
- 28
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in GA)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Paper / Packaging | 2 | $29B |
|
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| Retail | 1 | $160B |
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| Transportation / Logistics | 1 | $91B |
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| Airlines | 1 | $62B |
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| Consumer Goods | 1 | $47B |
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| Utilities | 1 | $25B |
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Price history
-9.6% since first listed3 events — show timeline
- 2026-03-02 Price Changed $315,900 Zillow
- 2026-01-10 Price Changed $314,900 Zillow
- 2025-03-05 Listed $349,400 Zillow
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…