4 bd · 3.0 ba ·
1,797 sqft ·
Built 1984
· SingleFamily
· Active
· 126 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$2,257/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$1,809
Tax + insurance
−$333
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$474
Net cashflow
$-360/mo
Annual
$-4,317/yr
Cap rate
5.04%
Cash-on-cash
-4.47%
DSCR
0.80
1% rule
0.65%
Cash to close
$96,600
Investor read
This is a 4-bed/3.0-bath single-family listed at $345k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $-360 ($-4k/yr) — negative.
To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $281k (18.4% below list).
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $226k (34.6% below list).
It's been on market 126 days — a 12% lower offer ($304k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $226k (34.6% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
In year one you build about $37k of equity ($2k loan paydown + $34k appreciation (10.0% local appreciation)).
Location reads 59/100 on livability (#826 in FL) — a working-class tenant base; expect higher turnover. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: crime C-, employment D+, schools D-.
Lee (suburban): math 47% / reading 50% proficiency, ranked #42 of 73 in FL (top 58%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
Market conditions: Rents soft (-1.5%/yr); 786 active listings in the ZIP; 40 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 22d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 15,411 units permitted in Lee County in 2024 (4,686 in 5+ unit buildings).
Lee County population projected at +44% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
Current owner paid $35k; list at $345k implies a 886% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
By year 2, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$59k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
This rent runs 37% of the median local income ($73k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Questions for listing agent
What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
It's been on market 126 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 35% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
CashFlowRE · CFR-C08N0ZFPV2NFAM
· Data 3 days agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29