3 bd · 1.0 ba ·
1,372 sqft ·
Built 1946
· SingleFamily
· Active
· 89 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$2,135/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$1,232
Tax + insurance
−$485
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$448
Net cashflow
$-31/mo
Annual
$-373/yr
Cap rate
6.42%
Cash-on-cash
0.45%
DSCR
1.02
1% rule
0.91%
Cash to close
$65,800
Investor read
This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $235k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $-31 ($-373/yr) — negative.
To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $230k (2.3% below list).
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $213k (9.2% below list).
It's been on market 89 days — a 6% lower offer ($221k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $213k (9.2% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $7k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 77/100 on livability (#42 in CT, #2,997 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: amenities F, commute D-.
Naugatuck School District (suburban): math 32% / reading 43% proficiency, ranked #105 of 153 in CT (top 69%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
Watch-outs: flood insurance adds $56/mo; built in 1946 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+6.2%/yr); 112 active listings in the ZIP; 26 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 22d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); solid renter incomes; 502 units permitted in Naugatuck Valley Planning Region in 2024 (171 in 5+ unit buildings).
2 sale attempts since 12y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $24k (9%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
Current owner paid $100k; list at $235k implies a 135% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Climate carrying-cost: severe flood risk; major wind risk, 27% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→16/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Cap rate 6.4% vs local median 3.4% in Naugatuck — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Questions for listing agent
What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
It's been on market 89 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 9% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Built in 1946 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
What's the actual annual flood-insurance premium (NFIP or private), and is the property in a SFHA with mandatory coverage?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
CashFlowRE · CFR-C111ZEBE7WS2Y0
· Data 3 days agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29