2 bd · 2.0 ba ·
916 sqft ·
Built 1995
· Condo
· Active
· 40 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,439/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$629
Tax + insurance
−$312
HOA
−$200
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$302
Net cashflow
$-4/mo
Annual
$-43/yr
Cap rate
6.26%
Cash-on-cash
-0.13%
DSCR
0.99
1% rule
1.20%
Cash to close
$33,572
Investor read
This is a 2-bed/2.0-bath condo listed at $120k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $-4 ($-43/yr) — negative.
To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $119k (0.5% below list).
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $120k).
It's been on market 40 days — a 3% lower offer ($116k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $116k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $829 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 74/100 on livability (#264 in IL, #4,889 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: commute A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: employment D+, amenities F, health & safety F.
Thornton Fractional Twp Hsd 215 (suburban): math 9% / reading 13% proficiency, ranked #563 of 620 in IL (top 91%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
Zoned schools: Wilson Elementary School (366 students, 0% FRL); Wentworth Jr High School (math 10% / reading 13%, grade F, #571 of 665 statewide, top 86%, 311 students, 0% FRL); Thornton Fractnl No High School (math 6% / reading 10%, grade F, #587 of 693 statewide, top 85%, 1,383 students, 0% FRL).
Watch-outs: property tax is 2.6% of price.
Market conditions: 23 active listings in the ZIP; 26 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 16d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 6,272 units permitted in Cook County in 2024 (4,658 in 5+ unit buildings).
5 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Current owner paid $22k; list at $120k implies a 433% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Questions for listing agent
What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
It's been on market 40 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Property tax is high relative to price — has the assessment been appealed recently, and will the sale trigger a re-assessment?
What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
Any open or pending special assessments — roof, HVAC, plumbing, elevator, façade? What's the per-unit balance and payoff schedule, and is the seller paying it off at close or rolling it to the buyer?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
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