3 bd · 2.0 ba ·
3,393 sqft ·
Built 1920
· SingleFamily
· Active
· 100 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$2,434/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$1,782
Tax + insurance
−$367
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$511
Net cashflow
$-227/mo
Annual
$-2,727/yr
Cap rate
5.49%
Cash-on-cash
-2.87%
DSCR
0.87
1% rule
0.72%
Cash to close
$95,172
Investor read
This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $340k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $-227 ($-3k/yr) — negative.
To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $300k (11.8% below list).
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $243k (28.4% below list).
It's been on market 100 days — a 9% lower offer ($309k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $243k (28.4% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $10k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 60/100 on livability (#484 in MO) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: employment A+, housing A+; Watch: amenities F, commute F, cost of living D-.
Wentzville R-IV (suburban): math 44% / reading 52% proficiency, ranked #32 of 324 in MO (top 10%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; only 18% free/reduced lunch — higher-income household profile.
Watch-outs: built in 1920 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Market conditions: 168 active listings in the ZIP; 2,021 units permitted in St. Charles County in 2024 (568 in 5+ unit buildings).
St. Charles County population projected at +22% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
Current owner paid $110k; list at $340k implies a 209% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Cap rate 5.5% vs local median 3.8% in Foristell — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Questions for listing agent
What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
It's been on market 100 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 28% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Built in 1920 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
CashFlowRE · CFR-C2DBBHDB8321H7
· Data 2 days agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29