9 bd · 3.0 ba ·
3,774 sqft ·
Built 1900
· MultiFamily
· Pending
· 12 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$4,110/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$1,521
Tax + insurance
−$442
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$863
Net cashflow
$1,284/mo
Annual
$15,410/yr
Cap rate
11.61%
Cash-on-cash
18.98%
DSCR
1.84
1% rule
1.42%
Cash to close
$81,200
Investor read
This is a 3 × 2-bed/1-bath units multifamily listed at $290k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $1k ($15k/yr) — positive. Per door: $428/mo.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($4k rent vs $290k).
Only 12 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $9k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 71/100 on livability (#713 in PA) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: amenities D+, commute F.
Central York SD (suburban): math 33% / reading 57% proficiency, ranked #244 of 539 in PA (top 45%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
Zoned schools: Central York Hs (math 61% / reading 74%, grade B, #59 of 437 statewide, top 14%, 1,807 students, 40% FRL) — zoned schools average 40% FRL vs 24% district-wide (17 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
Zoned-school proficiency averages 68% at this address vs 45% district-wide (+23 pts) — the actual schools serving this property are materially stronger than the Central York SD average implies; a family-tenant draw the district grade alone would hide.
Watch-outs: built in 1900 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+6.4%/yr); 249 active listings in the ZIP; solid renter incomes; 1,328 units permitted in York County in 2024 (338 in 5+ unit buildings).
Current owner paid $110k; list at $290k implies a 164% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 6.4% rent growth), your $81k cash investment doubles in ~6 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→15/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
At $4,110/mo this rent would consume 63% of the median local household income ($79k/yr) (locally 722% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.
Questions for listing agent
Can we see the unit-by-unit rent roll, current vacancy, and any below-market leases? What's the average tenancy length?
What capital expenditures (roof, boiler, parking lot, exteriors) have been made in the last 5 years, and what's planned in the next 2?
Built in 1900 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.
CashFlowRE · CFR-C2MTA7B80S9857
· Data 3 weeks agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29