2 bd · 1.5 ba ·
1,144 sqft ·
Built 1955
· SingleFamily
· Active
· 120 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$2,368/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$1,809
Tax + insurance
−$547
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$497
Net cashflow
$-485/mo
Annual
$-5,825/yr
Cap rate
4.60%
Cash-on-cash
-6.03%
DSCR
0.73
1% rule
0.69%
Cash to close
$96,600
Investor read
This is a 2-bed/1.5-bath single-family listed at $345k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $-485 ($-6k/yr) — negative.
To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $259k (24.9% below list).
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $237k (31.4% below list).
It's been on market 120 days — a 9% lower offer ($314k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $237k (31.4% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $10k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads: area grade F — affects rentability + tenant quality, not the cash-flow math above.
Palm Beach (suburban): math 46% / reading 53% proficiency, ranked #34 of 73 in FL (top 47%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
Zoned schools: Barton Elementary School (math 25% / reading 20%, grade F, #2,073 of 2,144 statewide, top 97%, 1,064 students, 80% FRL); Lake Worth Community Middle (math 17% / reading 23%, grade F, #558 of 571 statewide, top 98%, 1,249 students, 75% FRL); Lake Worth High School (math 16% / reading 27%, grade F, #546 of 667 statewide, top 82%, 2,683 students, 71% FRL) — zoned schools average 75% FRL vs 52% district-wide (23 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
Zoned-school proficiency averages 21% at this address vs 50% district-wide (-28 pts) — the specific schools serving this property underperform the Palm Beach average; the district grade overstates school quality for this exact location.
Watch-outs: built in 1955 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Market conditions: Rents rising (+3.5%/yr); 250 active listings in the ZIP; 40 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 20d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 3,974 units permitted in Palm Beach County in 2024 (1,012 in 5+ unit buildings).
Palm Beach County population projected at +30% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
8 sale attempts since 25y ago; this cycle's ask is 6% above the opening price — seller raised mid-cycle; expect resistance to lowballs.
Current owner paid $75k; list at $345k implies a 360% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→26/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
At $2,368/mo this rent would consume 46% of the median local household income ($62k/yr) (locally 2429% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.
Questions for listing agent
What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
It's been on market 120 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 31% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Built in 1955 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
CashFlowRE · CFR-C2Q5CPF94NCVP4
· Data 4 h agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29