3 bd · 3.0 ba ·
2,427 sqft ·
Built 2022
· SingleFamily
· Active
· 157 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$2,568/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$1,442
Tax + insurance
−$525
HOA
−$150
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$539
Net cashflow
$-89/mo
Annual
$-1,063/yr
Cap rate
6.20%
Cash-on-cash
-0.34%
DSCR
0.98
1% rule
0.93%
Cash to close
$77,000
Investor read
This is a 3-bed/3.0-bath single-family listed at $275k. Condition is rated good.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $-89 ($-1k/yr) — negative.
To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $262k (4.7% below list).
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $257k (6.6% below list).
It's been on market 157 days — a 12% lower offer ($242k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $242k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $8k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 78/100 on livability (#28 in MO, #2,671 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, cost of living A+; Watch: crime F.
North Kansas City 74 (urban): math 38% / reading 49% proficiency, ranked #98 of 324 in MO (top 30%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
Zoned schools: Nashua Elementary (math 62% / reading 67%, grade B, #70 of 1,115 statewide, top 8%, 328 students, 21% FRL); New Mark Middle (math 47% / reading 54%, grade C, #64 of 391 statewide, top 17%, 1,005 students, 36% FRL); Staley High (math 47% / reading 70%, grade C, #46 of 521 statewide, top 9%, 1,897 students, 21% FRL).
Zoned-school proficiency averages 58% at this address vs 44% district-wide (+14 pts) — the actual schools serving this property are materially stronger than the North Kansas City 74 average implies; a family-tenant draw the district grade alone would hide.
Watch-outs: flood insurance adds $66/mo.
Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+6.9%/yr); 468 active listings in the ZIP; 18 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals leasing fast (median 11d on market — plan ~1-2 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 44% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; solid renter incomes; 341 units permitted in Clay County in 2024 (40 in 5+ unit buildings).
Clay County population projected at +24% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
5 sale attempts since 4y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $105k (28%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
Climate carrying-cost: major flood risk — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Cap rate 6.2% vs local median 4.0% in Kansas City — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
This rent runs 32% of the median local income ($97k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Questions for listing agent
What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
It's been on market 157 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
What's the actual annual flood-insurance premium (NFIP or private), and is the property in a SFHA with mandatory coverage?
What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
CashFlowRE · CFR-C396AMC5QX62E4
· Data 5 h agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29