3 bd · 3.0 ba ·
2,427 sqft ·
Built 2022
· SingleFamily
· Pending
· 74 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$2,720/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$1,547
Tax + insurance
−$558
HOA
−$150
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$571
Net cashflow
$-107/mo
Annual
$-1,280/yr
Cap rate
6.13%
Cash-on-cash
-0.58%
DSCR
0.97
1% rule
0.92%
Cash to close
$82,600
Investor read
This is a 3-bed/3.0-bath single-family listed at $295k. Condition is rated good.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $-107 ($-1k/yr) — negative.
To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $280k (5.2% below list).
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $272k (7.8% below list).
It's been on market 74 days — a 6% lower offer ($277k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $272k (7.8% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $9k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 78/100 on livability (#28 in MO, #2,671 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, cost of living A+; Watch: schools C-, crime F.
North Kansas City 74 (urban): math 38% / reading 49% proficiency, ranked #98 of 324 in MO (top 30%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
Watch-outs: flood insurance adds $66/mo.
Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+6.9%/yr); 248 active listings in the ZIP; 6 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals leasing fast (median 8d on market — plan ~1-2 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); solid renter incomes; 341 units permitted in Clay County in 2024 (40 in 5+ unit buildings).
Clay County population projected at +24% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
5 sale attempts since 4y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $85k (22%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
Climate carrying-cost: major flood risk — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Cap rate 6.1% vs local median 3.9% in Kansas City — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
This rent runs 33% of the median local income ($97k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Questions for listing agent
What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
It's been on market 74 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 8% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
What's the actual annual flood-insurance premium (NFIP or private), and is the property in a SFHA with mandatory coverage?
What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
CashFlowRE · CFR-C396AMC5QX62E4
· Data 3 weeks agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29