4 bd · 2.5 ba ·
1,602 sqft ·
Built 2026
· SingleFamily
· Active
· 20 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$2,028/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$1,253
Tax + insurance
−$398
HOA
−$42
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$426
Net cashflow
$-92/mo
Annual
$-1,100/yr
Cap rate
5.83%
Cash-on-cash
-1.64%
DSCR
0.93
1% rule
0.85%
Cash to close
$66,917
Investor read
This is a 4-bed/2.5-bath single-family listed at $239k. Condition is rated poor.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $-92 ($-1k/yr) — negative.
To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $226k (5.6% below list).
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $203k (15.2% below list).
It's been on market 20 days — a 2% lower offer ($235k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $203k (15.2% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $7k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 69/100 on livability (#419 in TX) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, employment A+, housing A+; Watch: amenities F, commute F, health & safety F.
Princeton ISD (suburban): math 51% / reading 47% proficiency, ranked #188 of 826 in TX (top 23%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
Market conditions: Rents soft (-1.0%/yr); 1404 active listings in the ZIP; 40 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 25d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); solid renter incomes; 19,194 units permitted in Collin County in 2024 (3,988 in 5+ unit buildings).
Collin County population projected at +60% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 27% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→23/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Cap rate 5.8% vs local median 4.0% in Wylie — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Questions for listing agent
What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
Have any recent inspections been done? Can we get a copy of the seller's disclosures and any deferred-maintenance estimates?
What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
Repairs flagged (vision-AI assessment)
Major: Kitchen cabinets
— The cabinets are visibly damaged and need replacement.
Major: Bathroom fixtures
— The fixtures are outdated and need to be replaced.
Major: Roof
— The roof shows significant damage and needs replacement.
Major: Exterior siding
— The siding is peeling and needs repainting or replacement.
Major: Flooring
— The flooring is worn and needs replacement.
Major: Interior walls
— The walls show significant damage and need painting or repair.
CashFlowRE · CFR-C3VADZ6FJF4TSM
· Data 2 days agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29