3 bd · 2.0 ba ·
1,620 sqft ·
Built 1989
· Condo
· Active
· 9 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$3,257/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$1,620
Tax + insurance
−$474
HOA
−$969
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$684
Net cashflow
$-490/mo
Annual
$-5,886/yr
Cap rate
4.39%
Cash-on-cash
-6.80%
DSCR
0.70
1% rule
1.05%
Cash to close
$86,520
Investor read
This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath condo listed at $309k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $-490 ($-6k/yr) — negative.
To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $222k (28.0% below list).
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($3k rent vs $309k).
Only 9 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
Recommended offer: $222k (28.0% below list) — sets the bar for cash-flow.
In year one you build about $4k of equity ($2k loan paydown + $2k appreciation (0.7% local appreciation)).
Location reads 77/100 on livability (#202 in FL, #3,160 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: housing A+, health & safety A+, commute A-; Watch: cost of living C-, crime D-, amenities F.
Palm Beach (suburban): math 46% / reading 53% proficiency, ranked #34 of 73 in FL (top 47%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
Zoned schools: Orchard View Elementary School (math 48% / reading 47%, grade D, #1,182 of 2,144 statewide, top 55%, 596 students, 76% FRL); Spanish River Community High School (math 64% / reading 74%, grade B, #63 of 667 statewide, top 10%, 2,578 students, 25% FRL) — zoned schools at 50% FRL track the district average.
Watch-outs: HOA is 30% of rent.
Market conditions: Rents flat; 577 active listings in the ZIP; 40 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 19d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); solid renter incomes; 3,974 units permitted in Palm Beach County in 2024 (1,012 in 5+ unit buildings).
Palm Beach County population projected at +30% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
3 sale attempts since 15y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $81k (21%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
Current owner paid $155k; list at $309k implies a 99% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
By year 7, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$30k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 6→20/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
At $3,257/mo this rent would consume 49% of the median local household income ($80k/yr) (locally 494% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.
Questions for listing agent
What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
Any open or pending special assessments — roof, HVAC, plumbing, elevator, façade? What's the per-unit balance and payoff schedule, and is the seller paying it off at close or rolling it to the buyer?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
CashFlowRE · CFR-C7AJWN0D7AWNTF
· Data 2 days agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29