3 bd · 2.0 ba ·
1,400 sqft ·
Built 1979
· Condo
· Active
· 314 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,846/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$891
Tax + insurance
−$375
HOA
−$237
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$388
Net cashflow
$-44/mo
Annual
$-528/yr
Cap rate
5.98%
Cash-on-cash
-1.11%
DSCR
0.95
1% rule
1.09%
Cash to close
$47,572
Investor read
This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath condo listed at $170k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $-44 ($-528/yr) — negative.
To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $162k (4.6% below list).
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $170k).
It's been on market 314 days — a 12% lower offer ($150k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $150k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $5k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 70/100 on livability (#62 in SC) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: employment D+, crime D-, amenities D-.
York 03 (urban): math 36% / reading 47% proficiency, ranked #32 of 80 in SC (top 40%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
Zoned schools: Ebinport Elementary (math 22% / reading 32%, grade F, #421 of 597 statewide, top 73%, 459 students, 100% FRL); South Pointe High (math 47% / reading 77%, grade B-, #99 of 196 statewide, top 53%, 1,196 students, 60% FRL) — zoned schools average 80% FRL vs 49% district-wide (31 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
Market conditions: Rents soft (-0.2%/yr); 370 active listings in the ZIP; 27 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 25d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); solid renter incomes; 2,550 units permitted in York County in 2024 (350 in 5+ unit buildings).
York County population projected at +44% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
2 sale attempts; this cycle's ask has dropped $50k (23%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
Current owner paid $75k; list at $170k implies a 127% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 27% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→16/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Cap rate 6.0% vs local median 3.4% in Rock Hill — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Questions for listing agent
What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
It's been on market 314 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Built in 1979 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
Any open or pending special assessments — roof, HVAC, plumbing, elevator, façade? What's the per-unit balance and payoff schedule, and is the seller paying it off at close or rolling it to the buyer?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
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