3 bd · 1.0 ba ·
784 sqft ·
Built 1979
· Manufactured
· Active
· 587 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,418/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$786
Tax + insurance
−$176
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$298
Net cashflow
$158/mo
Annual
$1,897/yr
Cap rate
7.56%
Cash-on-cash
4.52%
DSCR
1.20
1% rule
0.95%
Cash to close
$41,972
Investor read
This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath manufactured listed at $150k. Condition is rated poor.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $158 ($2k/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $142k (5.4% below list).
It's been on market 587 days — a 12% lower offer ($132k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $132k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Local home prices are declining (-0.8%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $1k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 68/100 on livability (#472 in TX) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, crime B+; Watch: health & safety D+, schools F, amenities F.
Bridgeport ISD (rural): math 41% / reading 41% proficiency, ranked #356 of 826 in TX (top 43%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
Market conditions: 338 active listings in the ZIP; solid renter incomes; 460 units permitted in Wise County in 2024 (243 in 5+ unit buildings).
Wise County population projected at +27% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
Climate carrying-cost: severe wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→21/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Cap rate 7.6% vs local median 3.3% in Bridgeport — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Questions for listing agent
It's been on market 587 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Have any recent inspections been done? Can we get a copy of the seller's disclosures and any deferred-maintenance estimates?
Built in 1979 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
Repairs flagged (vision-AI assessment)
Major: exterior siding
— Significant damage and wear
Major: roof
— Significant damage and wear
Major: flooring
— Significant damage and wear
Major: interior walls/paint
— Significant damage and wear
Major: HVAC/mechanicals
— No visible signs of HVAC/mechanicals in the photos
Major: landscaping
— Overgrown and in poor condition
CashFlowRE · CFR-C8VMAT23PJGCXD
· Data 2 days agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29