2 bd · 2.0 ba ·
1,023 sqft ·
Built 2026
· Manufactured
· Active
· 65 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,410/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$346
Tax + insurance
−$110
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$296
Net cashflow
$658/mo
Annual
$7,893/yr
Cap rate
18.25%
Cash-on-cash
42.71%
DSCR
2.90
1% rule
2.14%
Cash to close
$18,480
Investor read
This is a 2-bed/2.0-bath manufactured listed at $66k. Condition is rated fair.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $658 ($8k/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $66k).
It's been on market 65 days — a 6% lower offer ($62k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $62k (6.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $456 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 77/100 on livability (#154 in IL, #2,835 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: commute A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: amenities D+, schools D, crime D-.
Dekalb CUSD 428 (suburban): math 11% / reading 16% proficiency, ranked #541 of 620 in IL (top 87%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+7.3%/yr); 84 active listings in the ZIP; 5 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 26d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 40% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; 260 units permitted in DeKalb County in 2024 (73 in 5+ unit buildings).
DeKalb County population projected to shrink 5% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 7.3% rent growth), your $18k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Cap rate 18.3% vs local median 4.3% in DeKalb — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
This rent runs 36% of the median local income ($47k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Questions for listing agent
It's been on market 65 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 6% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Have any recent inspections been done? Can we get a copy of the seller's disclosures and any deferred-maintenance estimates?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
Repairs flagged (vision-AI assessment)
Minor: Paint
— Paint appears faded
Minor: Siding
— Light wear on siding
CashFlowRE · CFR-C9Y5ZM9ZT2DXZ3
· Data 4 h agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29