3 bd · 2.0 ba ·
1,841 sqft ·
Built 1915
· SingleFamily
· Active
· 3 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,387/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$891
Tax + insurance
−$280
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$291
Net cashflow
$-75/mo
Annual
$-904/yr
Cap rate
5.76%
Cash-on-cash
-1.90%
DSCR
0.92
1% rule
0.82%
Cash to close
$47,600
Investor read
This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $170k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $-75 ($-904/yr) — negative.
To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $157k (7.8% below list).
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $139k (18.4% below list).
Only 3 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
Recommended offer: $139k (18.4% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
In year one you build about $18k of equity ($1k loan paydown + $17k appreciation (10.0% local appreciation)).
Location reads 67/100 on livability (#245 in KS) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: crime F, amenities F, commute F.
Newton (town): math 17% / reading 30% proficiency, ranked #141 of 169 in KS (top 83%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
Zoned schools: Walton Rural Life Center (math 42% / reading 37%, grade F, #321 of 684 statewide, top 52%, 132 students, 55% FRL, charter); Chisholm Middle School (math 14% / reading 25%, grade F, #152 of 219 statewide, top 72%, 489 students, 58% FRL); Newton Sr High (math 11% / reading 26%, grade F, #232 of 327 statewide, top 71%, 956 students, 51% FRL).
Watch-outs: built in 1915 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Market conditions: 4 active listings in the ZIP; 148 units permitted in Harvey County in 2024 (13 in 5+ unit buildings).
2 sale attempts since 6y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
At projected returns (10.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $48k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
By year 3, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$46k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→18/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for listing agent
What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
Built in 1915 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
CashFlowRE · CFR-CAZWK69AW1FJNS
· Data 23 h agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29