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218 Main St
D+ Composite 45.1
Why this score? — see what drove the D+ grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +10.9/30.0
  • Appreciation +10.0/10.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • Livability +3.4/5.0
  • 1% rule +3.2/10.0
  • DSCR +3.2/10.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +2.1/10.0

$170,000

218 Main St · Walton, KS 67151
3 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,841 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 3 Days on market
Built 1915 0.26 ac lot

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Key facts

  • 0.26 acre lot
  • 2 garage spots
  • Built 1915

Property features AI

Exterior

  • Parking: 2-car garage
  • Utilities: Public water; Sewer available; Natural gas available
  • Home design: Single-family onsite built
  • Exterior features: One-and-a-half story; Crawl space foundation; Composition roof

Interior

  • Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms
  • Heating & cooling: Central air (electric); Forced air heating (natural gas)
  • Interior features: Disposal; No basement
  • Laundry & utility: Laundry on the main floor

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $170k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $-75 ($-904/yr) — negative.
  • To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $157k (7.8% below list).
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $139k (18.4% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $139k (18.4% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 67/100 on livability (#245 in KS) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: crime F, amenities F, commute F.
  • Newton (town): math 17% / reading 30% proficiency, ranked #141 of 169 in KS (top 83%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
  • Zoned schools: Walton Rural Life Center (math 42% / reading 37%, grade F, #321 of 684 statewide, top 52%, 132 students, 55% FRL, charter); Chisholm Middle School (math 14% / reading 25%, grade F, #152 of 219 statewide, top 72%, 489 students, 58% FRL); Newton Sr High (math 11% / reading 26%, grade F, #232 of 327 statewide, top 71%, 956 students, 51% FRL).
  • Market conditions: 4 active listings in the ZIP; 148 units permitted in Harvey County in 2024 (13 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • In year one you build about $18k of equity ($1k loan paydown + $17k appreciation (10.0% local appreciation)).
  • At projected returns (10.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $48k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
  • By year 3, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$46k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.

Negotiation context

  • Only 3 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
  • 2 sale attempts since 6y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1915 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
  • Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→18/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $138,739 (18.4% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
  2. Built in 1915 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  4. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  5. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  6. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  7. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  8. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  9. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.82%
Cap rate
5.76%
Cash-on-cash
-1.90%
DSCR
0.92
GRM
10.2

CMA / ARV

No comps found within radius.

Projected returns pro-forma

10.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
22.9%
Equity multiple
2.84×
Total profit
$87,809
Equity at exit
$153,149
10-year hold
IRR
20.5%
Equity multiple
6.51×
Total profit
$262,393
Equity at exit
$330,273

Cash invested: $47,600 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Kansas
83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+10
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
3-day pay-or-quit; preempts local rent control; moderate court pace.

ZIP-level market 67151

Home prices YoY
3.9%
Active inventory
4
Price-to-rent
10.2×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,387 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$891
Tax from tax record
$209 /mo · $2,508/yr
Insurance
$71
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$291
Net cashflow
$-75

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,483
Max offer price $156,698
Occupancy floor

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $21 -5% $-27 +0% $-75 +5% $-123 +10% $-172
Rent -10% $-185 -5% $-130 +0% $-75 +5% $-20 +10% $34
Rate -1.0pp $10 -0.5pp $-32 base $-75 +0.5pp $-119 +1.0pp $-164

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$42,500
Closing costs
$5,100
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 2 events

  1. 2026-06-21
    days on market $170,000 Active 3 DOM
  2. 2026-06-19
    listed $170,000 Active 1 DOM

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast KS · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$2,508 · $209/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$2,508 · $209/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 4/10 Moderate
  • 🌡 Heat 5/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥106°F today · 18 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low 0% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$16,649
− Mortgage interest
−$9,523
− Property taxes
−$2,508
− Insurance
−$850
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,332
− Management
−$1,332
− Depreciation
−$4,945
Taxable loss
−$3,841
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$922
After-tax cash flow
$18/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Newton
NCES district ID
2009960
Math proficiency
17% ▼ -5.00%
Reading proficiency
30% ▲ 1.00%
Median HH income
$47,297
Composite
20.51/100
National rank
#8569
State rank
#141 of 169 in KS

Livability — Walton

Score
67/100
State rank
#245
US rank
#10918

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime F Employment C Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings A

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Walton, KS
Population (ZIP)
514

Population outlook (Harvey County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
35,226 people
By 2030
35,287 · +0.2%
By 2040
35,124 · -0.3%
By 2050
34,665 · -1.6%
By 2075
33,716 · -4.3%
By 2100
30,163 · -14.4%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (97%)
Race & ethnicity
White 97% Two or more races 3%
Common ancestry
Slovak 1% Romanian 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Harvey

2024 margin
Strong R (+21.1) · D 38.6% · R 59.6% · Other 1.8%
2008→2024 swing
-3.8pp toward R · 2008: -17.2pp · 2024: -21.1pp
All cycles
2024: R+21.1 2020: R+19.7 2016: R+24.1 2012: R+23.1 2008: R+17.2

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▲ 10.45%
Current HPI
278.8308
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
F500 in state
0

Price history

+101.2% since first listed
2 events — show timeline
  • 2026-06-18 Listed $170,000 SCKMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2020-01-03 Listed $84,500 SCKMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid

Property tax history

+3.8%/yr

Latest (2025): $2,508 · +13.3% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…