3 bd · 1.0 ba ·
1,398 sqft ·
Built 1900
· SingleFamily
· Pending
· 68 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,232/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$708
Tax + insurance
−$228
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$259
Net cashflow
$37/mo
Annual
$449/yr
Cap rate
6.63%
Cash-on-cash
1.19%
DSCR
1.05
1% rule
0.91%
Cash to close
$37,800
Investor read
This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $135k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $37 ($449/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $123k (8.7% below list).
It's been on market 68 days — a 6% lower offer ($127k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $123k (8.7% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $933 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 76/100 on livability (#190 in IA, #3,480 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: amenities F, commute F, employment D-.
Storm Lake Community School District (town): math 47% / reading 54% proficiency, ranked #280 of 289 in IA (top 97%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease; 63% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
Zoned schools: Storm Lake Elementary (math 48% / reading 45%, grade D-, #546 of 616 statewide, top 89%, 814 students, 76% FRL); Storm Lake Middle School (math 48% / reading 54%, grade C, #210 of 246 statewide, top 87%, 787 students, 69% FRL); Storm Lake High School (math 45% / reading 61%, grade C-, #296 of 336 statewide, top 88%, 793 students, 62% FRL).
Watch-outs: built in 1900 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Market conditions: 85 active listings in the ZIP; 164 units permitted in Buena Vista County in 2024 (71 in 5+ unit buildings).
Buena Vista County population projected at +12% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
2 sale attempts; this cycle's ask has dropped $14k (9%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
Cap rate 6.6% vs local median 2.9% in Storm Lake — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Questions for listing agent
It's been on market 68 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 9% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Built in 1900 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
CashFlowRE · CFR-CC4EW7CFEJWVTC
· Data 4 weeks agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29