4 bd · 2.0 ba ·
1,988 sqft ·
Built 1870
· MultiFamily
· Active
· 237 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,927/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$676
Tax + insurance
−$396
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$405
Net cashflow
$450/mo
Annual
$5,397/yr
Cap rate
10.99%
Cash-on-cash
16.79%
DSCR
1.75
1% rule
1.49%
Cash to close
$36,120
Investor read
This is a 2 × 2-bed/1.0-bath units multifamily listed at $129k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $450 ($5k/yr) — positive. Per door: $225/mo.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $129k).
It's been on market 237 days — a 12% lower offer ($114k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $114k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
In year one you build about $6k of equity ($892 loan paydown + $5k appreciation (3.6% local appreciation)).
Location reads 68/100 on livability (#541 in NY) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, crime A-; Watch: health & safety C-, schools D+, amenities F.
Norwood-Norfolk Central School District (rural): math 30% / reading 36% proficiency, ranked #568 of 590 in NY (top 96%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
Watch-outs: property tax is 2.7% of price; flood insurance adds $56/mo; built in 1870 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Market conditions: 26 active listings in the ZIP; 215 units permitted in St. Lawrence County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
St. Lawrence County population projected at -14% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
Current owner paid $46k; list at $129k implies a 177% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
At projected returns (3.6% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $36k cash investment doubles in ~4 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
By year 7, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$35k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Climate carrying-cost: severe flood risk — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for listing agent
It's been on market 237 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Can we see the unit-by-unit rent roll, current vacancy, and any below-market leases? What's the average tenancy length?
What capital expenditures (roof, boiler, parking lot, exteriors) have been made in the last 5 years, and what's planned in the next 2?
Built in 1870 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Property tax is high relative to price — has the assessment been appealed recently, and will the sale trigger a re-assessment?
What's the actual annual flood-insurance premium (NFIP or private), and is the property in a SFHA with mandatory coverage?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
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