4 bd · 2.0 ba ·
1,828 sqft ·
Built 2026
· SingleFamily
· Active
· 86 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$2,327/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$1,589
Tax + insurance
−$505
HOA
−$15
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$489
Net cashflow
$-271/mo
Annual
$-3,251/yr
Cap rate
5.22%
Cash-on-cash
-3.83%
DSCR
0.83
1% rule
0.77%
Cash to close
$84,837
Investor read
This is a 4-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $303k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $-271 ($-3k/yr) — negative.
To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $264k (12.9% below list).
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $233k (23.2% below list).
It's been on market 86 days — a 6% lower offer ($285k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $233k (23.2% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $9k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads: area grade D — affects rentability + tenant quality, not the cash-flow math above.
Marion (rural): math 42% / reading 43% proficiency, ranked #61 of 73 in FL (top 84%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; 61% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
Zoned schools: Hammett Bowen Jr. Elementary School (math 56% / reading 56%, grade C+, #832 of 2,144 statewide, top 40%, 867 students, 54% FRL); Liberty Middle School (math 40% / reading 41%, grade F, #360 of 571 statewide, top 64%, 1,365 students, 54% FRL); West Port High School (math 34% / reading 52%, grade F, #255 of 667 statewide, top 39%, 2,906 students, 52% FRL).
Market conditions: Rents flat; 299 active listings in the ZIP; 25 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 16d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 7,071 units permitted in Marion County in 2024 (534 in 5+ unit buildings).
Marion County population projected at +13% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
2 sale attempts; this cycle's ask has dropped $28k (8%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
This rent runs 43% of the median local income ($65k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Questions for listing agent
What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
It's been on market 86 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 23% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
CashFlowRE · CFR-CDFJ5BDE8F7KPH
· Data 1 day agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29