1 bd · 1.0 ba ·
1,120 sqft ·
Built 1797
· SingleFamily
· Active
· 20 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$989/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$157
Tax + insurance
−$116
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$208
Net cashflow
$508/mo
Annual
$6,098/yr
Cap rate
29.36%
Cash-on-cash
82.37%
DSCR
4.66
1% rule
3.31%
Cash to close
$8,372
Investor read
This is a 1-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $30k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $508 ($6k/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($989 rent vs $30k).
It's been on market 20 days — a 2% lower offer ($29k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $29k (1.5% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
In year one you build about $3k of equity ($207 loan paydown + $3k appreciation (10.0% local appreciation)).
Location reads 77/100 on livability (#343 in PA, #3,022 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: amenities F, commute F.
Blue Mountain SD (town): math 42% / reading 65% proficiency, ranked #126 of 539 in PA (top 23%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
Watch-outs: flood insurance adds $66/mo; built in 1797 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Market conditions: 13 active listings in the ZIP; 169 units permitted in Schuylkill County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Schuylkill County population projected at -16% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
2 sale attempts since 7y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $10k (25%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
At projected returns (10.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $8k cash investment doubles in ~1 year — after that, you're playing with house money.
By year 9, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$33k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Climate carrying-cost: major flood risk — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for listing agent
Built in 1797 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
What's the actual annual flood-insurance premium (NFIP or private), and is the property in a SFHA with mandatory coverage?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
CashFlowRE · CFR-CDHJQJ5YNZDVCT
· Data 3 weeks agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29